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Title: 2007 Wholesale Power Rate Case Final Proposal : Market Price Forecast Study.

Abstract

This study presents BPA's market price forecasts for the Final Proposal, which are based on AURORA modeling. AURORA calculates the variable cost of the marginal resource in a competitively priced energy market. In competitive market pricing, the marginal cost of production is equivalent to the market-clearing price. Market-clearing prices are important factors for informing BPA's power rates. AURORA was used as the primary tool for (a) estimating the forward price for the IOU REP Settlement benefits calculation for fiscal years (FY) 2008 and 2009, (b) estimating the uncertainty surrounding DSI payments and IOU REP Settlements benefits, (c) informing the secondary revenue forecast and (d) providing a price input used for the risk analysis. For information about the calculation of the secondary revenues, uncertainty regarding the IOU REP Settlement benefits and DSI payment uncertainty, and the risk run, see Risk Analysis Study WP-07-FS-BPA-04.

Authors:
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Bonneville Power Administration (BPA), Portland, OR
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
899130
Report Number(s):
DOE/BP-3724
TRN: US200713%%181
DOE Contract Number:  
WP-07-FS-BPA-03
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; MARKET; PRICES; PRODUCTION; RISK ASSESSMENT; SIMULATION; ELECTRIC UTILITIES; Electric utilities - Rates - Northwest, Pacific

Citation Formats

United States. Bonneville Power Administration.. 2007 Wholesale Power Rate Case Final Proposal : Market Price Forecast Study.. United States: N. p., 2006. Web. doi:10.2172/899130.
United States. Bonneville Power Administration.. 2007 Wholesale Power Rate Case Final Proposal : Market Price Forecast Study.. United States. doi:10.2172/899130.
United States. Bonneville Power Administration.. Sat . "2007 Wholesale Power Rate Case Final Proposal : Market Price Forecast Study.". United States. doi:10.2172/899130. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/899130.
@article{osti_899130,
title = {2007 Wholesale Power Rate Case Final Proposal : Market Price Forecast Study.},
author = {United States. Bonneville Power Administration.},
abstractNote = {This study presents BPA's market price forecasts for the Final Proposal, which are based on AURORA modeling. AURORA calculates the variable cost of the marginal resource in a competitively priced energy market. In competitive market pricing, the marginal cost of production is equivalent to the market-clearing price. Market-clearing prices are important factors for informing BPA's power rates. AURORA was used as the primary tool for (a) estimating the forward price for the IOU REP Settlement benefits calculation for fiscal years (FY) 2008 and 2009, (b) estimating the uncertainty surrounding DSI payments and IOU REP Settlements benefits, (c) informing the secondary revenue forecast and (d) providing a price input used for the risk analysis. For information about the calculation of the secondary revenues, uncertainty regarding the IOU REP Settlement benefits and DSI payment uncertainty, and the risk run, see Risk Analysis Study WP-07-FS-BPA-04.},
doi = {10.2172/899130},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Sat Jul 01 00:00:00 EDT 2006},
month = {Sat Jul 01 00:00:00 EDT 2006}
}

Technical Report:

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