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Title: A four-parameter change-point model for predicting energy consumption in commercial buildings

Journal Article · · Transactions of the ASAE; (United States)
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1115/1.2929993· OSTI ID:7101988
;  [1]
  1. Mechanical Engineering Dept., Texas A and M Univ., College Station, TX (US)

This paper develops a four-parameter change-point model of energy consumption as a function of dry-bulb temperature, along with accompanying error diagnostics for the model's parameters. The model is a generalization of the widely used three-parameter, or variable-base degree-day method. The model is applied to data from a case study grocery store, is compared to the three-parameter PRISM CO model of the store data, and is shown to provide a statistically better fit to consumption data below about 15{degrees}C. This model appears to be useful for diagnosing unexpected energy use in some buildings and should be useful for determining retrofit energy savings from monitored pre-retrofit and post-retrofit data for the class of buildings whose pre-retrofit consumption is fit by a four-parameter linear change-point model.

OSTI ID:
7101988
Journal Information:
Transactions of the ASAE; (United States), Vol. 114; ISSN 0001-2351
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English