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Title: An approach to estimating probabilities of transportation-related spills of hazardous materials

Abstract

Accident rates were determined for appropriate modes of transportation, e.g., rail and truck transport. The fraction of accidents that results in spills was then determined and spill probabilities were estimated from equations based on the Poisson distribution. As an illustration, the method was applied to a hypothetical chemical plant which receives shipments of six raw materials, produces and transports two products and disposes of hazardous waste at a nearby waste disposal site. The approach may also be used to determine spill probabilities for whole classes of chemicals, or within certain geographical areas.

Authors:
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
EG and G, Environ. Consult.
OSTI Identifier:
6852612
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 6852612
Resource Type:
Journal Article
Journal Name:
Environ. Sci. Technol.; (United States)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 13:2
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; USES; RISK ASSESSMENT; ACCIDENTS; POISSON EQUATION; POLLUTION SOURCES; RAIL TRANSPORT; TRUCKS; DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS; EQUATIONS; LAND TRANSPORT; PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS; TRANSPORT; VEHICLES 290300* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Environment, Health, & Safety; 290700 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Transport & Storage

Citation Formats

Menzie, C.A. An approach to estimating probabilities of transportation-related spills of hazardous materials. United States: N. p., 1979. Web. doi:10.1021/es60150a015.
Menzie, C.A. An approach to estimating probabilities of transportation-related spills of hazardous materials. United States. doi:10.1021/es60150a015.
Menzie, C.A. Thu . "An approach to estimating probabilities of transportation-related spills of hazardous materials". United States. doi:10.1021/es60150a015.
@article{osti_6852612,
title = {An approach to estimating probabilities of transportation-related spills of hazardous materials},
author = {Menzie, C.A.},
abstractNote = {Accident rates were determined for appropriate modes of transportation, e.g., rail and truck transport. The fraction of accidents that results in spills was then determined and spill probabilities were estimated from equations based on the Poisson distribution. As an illustration, the method was applied to a hypothetical chemical plant which receives shipments of six raw materials, produces and transports two products and disposes of hazardous waste at a nearby waste disposal site. The approach may also be used to determine spill probabilities for whole classes of chemicals, or within certain geographical areas.},
doi = {10.1021/es60150a015},
journal = {Environ. Sci. Technol.; (United States)},
number = ,
volume = 13:2,
place = {United States},
year = {1979},
month = {2}
}