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Title: Tornado missile risk analysis. Appendixes: anaytical models and data bases. Final report

Abstract

Mathematical models of the contributing events to the tornado missile hazard at nuclear power plants have been developed in which the major sources of uncertainty have been considered in a probablistic framework. These models have been structured into a sequential event formalism which permits the treatment of both single and multiple missile generation events. A simulation computer code utilizing these models has been developed to obtain estimates of tornado missile event likelihoods. Two case studies have been analyzed: a single unit plant using the current NRC set of missiles and a two unit arrangement using an expanded missile set. Preliminary results suggest that the likelihood of missile strike and that of subsequent plant damage may be acceptably small.

Authors:
; ; ; ; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Carolina Power and Light Co., Raleigh, NC (USA)
OSTI Identifier:
6693389
Report Number(s):
EPRI-NP-769(App.)
TRN: 78-016183
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS; NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS; MISSILE PROTECTION; TORNADOES; RISK ASSESSMENT; BUILDINGS; IMPACT SHOCK; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; REACTOR SAFETY; DISASTERS; NUCLEAR FACILITIES; POWER PLANTS; SAFETY; STORMS; THERMAL POWER PLANTS; WIND; 220900* - Nuclear Reactor Technology- Reactor Safety; 220200 - Nuclear Reactor Technology- Components & Accessories

Citation Formats

Twisdale, L. A., Dunn, W. L., Lew, S. T., Davis, T. L., Hsu, J. C., and Lee, S. T. Tornado missile risk analysis. Appendixes: anaytical models and data bases. Final report. United States: N. p., 1978. Web. doi:10.2172/6693389.
Twisdale, L. A., Dunn, W. L., Lew, S. T., Davis, T. L., Hsu, J. C., & Lee, S. T. Tornado missile risk analysis. Appendixes: anaytical models and data bases. Final report. United States. doi:10.2172/6693389.
Twisdale, L. A., Dunn, W. L., Lew, S. T., Davis, T. L., Hsu, J. C., and Lee, S. T. Mon . "Tornado missile risk analysis. Appendixes: anaytical models and data bases. Final report". United States. doi:10.2172/6693389. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/6693389.
@article{osti_6693389,
title = {Tornado missile risk analysis. Appendixes: anaytical models and data bases. Final report},
author = {Twisdale, L. A. and Dunn, W. L. and Lew, S. T. and Davis, T. L. and Hsu, J. C. and Lee, S. T.},
abstractNote = {Mathematical models of the contributing events to the tornado missile hazard at nuclear power plants have been developed in which the major sources of uncertainty have been considered in a probablistic framework. These models have been structured into a sequential event formalism which permits the treatment of both single and multiple missile generation events. A simulation computer code utilizing these models has been developed to obtain estimates of tornado missile event likelihoods. Two case studies have been analyzed: a single unit plant using the current NRC set of missiles and a two unit arrangement using an expanded missile set. Preliminary results suggest that the likelihood of missile strike and that of subsequent plant damage may be acceptably small.},
doi = {10.2172/6693389},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {1978},
month = {5}
}