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Title: Energy supply and demand balances and financing requirements in non-OPEC developing nations. Final report. [Projections to 1990 and 2020]

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/6275805· OSTI ID:6275805

This report examines the key aspects of the energy supply and demand situation in developing countries. It begins by defining five categories that reflect the differences among these countries' economic and resource structures, their levels of development, and the energy options available to them. For each country group, the energy supply and demand is projected, by fuel type, to the years 1990 and 2020. On the basis of the available estimates of resource development costs, the financial requirements for these countries to achieve aggregate energy self-sufficiency are quantified. The analysis is extended through a consideration of the determinants and sources of investment capital for energy development. A principal factor influencing the energy balances of less developed countries (LDCs) will be government policies in such areas as energy conservation, growth strategies, and international economic relations. This study addresses the question of possible LDC responses to energy shortages in three respects. First, energy conservation and fuel-switching alternatives are examined for industry, transporation, the urban residential sector, and the rural and agricultural sector. Second, small-scale technologies for renewable energy resources are discussed in terms of their potential applications for LDCs. Finally, each LDC country group's range of likely responses to energy shortages is examined in terms of both historical patterns and resource constraints.

Research Organization:
Gordian Associates, Inc., Washington, DC (USA)
DOE Contract Number:
EH-77-C-01-6407
OSTI ID:
6275805
Report Number(s):
HCP/H-6407
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English