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Title: Global warming and ice ages: I. prospects for physics based modulation of global change

Abstract

It has been suggested that large-scale climate changes, mostly due to atmospheric injection of greenhouse gases connected with fossil-fired energy production, should be forestalled by internationally-agreed reductions in, e.g., electricity generation. The potential economic impacts of such limitations are obviously large: greater than or equal to $10{sup 11}/year. We propose that for far smaller - less than 1% - the mean thermal effects of greenhouse gases may be obviated in any of several distinct ways, some of them novel. These suggestions are all based on scatterers that prevent a small fraction of solar radiation from reaching all or part of the Earth. We propose research directed to quite near-term realization of one or more of these inexpensive approaches to cancel the effects of the greenhouse gas injection. While the magnitude of the climatic impact of greenhouse gases is currently uncertain, the prospect of severe failure of the climate, for instance at the onset of the next Ice Age, is undeniable. The proposals in this paper may lead to quite practical methods to reduce or eliminate all climate failures.

Authors:
; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
OSTI Identifier:
611779
Report Number(s):
UCRL-JC-128715; CONF-9708117-
ON: DE98050756; TRN: 98:005466
DOE Contract Number:  
W-7405-ENG-48
Resource Type:
Conference
Resource Relation:
Conference: 22. international symposium on planetary emergencies, Erice (Italy), 23 Aug 1997; Other Information: PBD: 15 Aug 1996
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 58 GEOSCIENCES; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; GREENHOUSE GASES; FOSSIL-FUEL POWER PLANTS; AIR POLLUTION ABATEMENT; SCATTERING; VISIBLE RADIATION

Citation Formats

Teller, E, Wood, L, and Hyde, R. Global warming and ice ages: I. prospects for physics based modulation of global change. United States: N. p., 1996. Web.
Teller, E, Wood, L, & Hyde, R. Global warming and ice ages: I. prospects for physics based modulation of global change. United States.
Teller, E, Wood, L, and Hyde, R. Thu . "Global warming and ice ages: I. prospects for physics based modulation of global change". United States. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/611779.
@article{osti_611779,
title = {Global warming and ice ages: I. prospects for physics based modulation of global change},
author = {Teller, E and Wood, L and Hyde, R},
abstractNote = {It has been suggested that large-scale climate changes, mostly due to atmospheric injection of greenhouse gases connected with fossil-fired energy production, should be forestalled by internationally-agreed reductions in, e.g., electricity generation. The potential economic impacts of such limitations are obviously large: greater than or equal to $10{sup 11}/year. We propose that for far smaller - less than 1% - the mean thermal effects of greenhouse gases may be obviated in any of several distinct ways, some of them novel. These suggestions are all based on scatterers that prevent a small fraction of solar radiation from reaching all or part of the Earth. We propose research directed to quite near-term realization of one or more of these inexpensive approaches to cancel the effects of the greenhouse gas injection. While the magnitude of the climatic impact of greenhouse gases is currently uncertain, the prospect of severe failure of the climate, for instance at the onset of the next Ice Age, is undeniable. The proposals in this paper may lead to quite practical methods to reduce or eliminate all climate failures.},
doi = {},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {1996},
month = {8}
}

Conference:
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