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Title: Short-term energy outlook. [Projections for 1980 and 1st quarter, 1981]

Technical Report ·
OSTI ID:5651094

EIA published an Analysis Report, Short-Term Energy Outlook, October 1979 (DOE/EIA--0202/1; EAPA 6: 837) which was the first to use the Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System (STIFS), developed at EIA. It provided quarterly projections for 1979 and 1980 for all energy products and monthly projections of motor-gasoline and distillate-fuel-oil supply and disposition. The October report was designed to analyze important new developments in the petroleum sector, such as the mid-year OPEC price increases, the spring gasoline shortage, the distillate-fuel-oil stock build-up, and the recent Presidential decisions to accelerate decontrol of domestic-crude-oil prices and to limit the volume of US petroleum imports. The impact of these developments in the petroleum sector on non-petroleum products was analyzed within the STIFS framework. This report provides revised, quarterly projections for 1980 and the first quarter of 1981 for all major energy products, and it provides monthly projections for gasoline and distillate fuel oil. The revised projections take into account recent and anticipated developments affecting the domestic energy situation, such as the latest OPEC pricing policy and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission decisions on nuclear power. The forecast also reflects recent changes in the economic outlook and changes in the outlook for domestic energy production.

Research Organization:
Department of Energy, Washington, DC (USA). Energy Information Administration
OSTI ID:
5651094
Report Number(s):
DOE/EIA-0202/2
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English