Worldwide transportation/energy demand, 1975-2000. Revised Variflex model projections
Abstract
The salient features of the transportation-energy relationships that characterize the world of 1975 are reviewed, and worldwide (34 countries) long-range transportation demand by mode to the year 2000 is reviewed. A worldwide model is used to estimate future energy demand for transportation. Projections made by the forecasting model indicate that in the year 2000, every region will be more dependent on petroleum for the transportation sector than it was in 1975. This report is intended to highlight certain trends and to suggest areas for further investigation. Forecast methodology and model output are described in detail in the appendices. The report is one of a series addressing transportation energy consumption; it supplants and replaces an earlier version published in October 1978 (ORNL/Sub-78/13536/1).
- Authors:
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Variflex Corp., Washington, DC (USA)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 5574298
- Report Number(s):
- ORNL/Sub-79/45740/1
- DOE Contract Number:
- W-7405-ENG-26
- Resource Type:
- Technical Report
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION; 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; ENERGY DEMAND; FORECASTING; TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS; ENERGY CONSUMPTION; ECONOMICS; ENERGY MODELS; GLOBAL ASPECTS; GRAPHS; NUMERICAL DATA; REGIONAL ANALYSIS; SIMULATION; TABLES; DATA; DATA FORMS; DEMAND; INFORMATION; 320200* - Energy Conservation, Consumption, & Utilization- Transportation; 292000 - Energy Planning & Policy- Supply, Demand & Forecasting; 290100 - Energy Planning & Policy- Energy Analysis & Modeling
Citation Formats
Ayres, R.U., and Ayres, L.W.. Worldwide transportation/energy demand, 1975-2000. Revised Variflex model projections. United States: N. p., 1980.
Web. doi:10.2172/5574298.
Ayres, R.U., & Ayres, L.W.. Worldwide transportation/energy demand, 1975-2000. Revised Variflex model projections. United States. doi:10.2172/5574298.
Ayres, R.U., and Ayres, L.W.. Sat .
"Worldwide transportation/energy demand, 1975-2000. Revised Variflex model projections". United States.
doi:10.2172/5574298. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/5574298.
@article{osti_5574298,
title = {Worldwide transportation/energy demand, 1975-2000. Revised Variflex model projections},
author = {Ayres, R.U. and Ayres, L.W.},
abstractNote = {The salient features of the transportation-energy relationships that characterize the world of 1975 are reviewed, and worldwide (34 countries) long-range transportation demand by mode to the year 2000 is reviewed. A worldwide model is used to estimate future energy demand for transportation. Projections made by the forecasting model indicate that in the year 2000, every region will be more dependent on petroleum for the transportation sector than it was in 1975. This report is intended to highlight certain trends and to suggest areas for further investigation. Forecast methodology and model output are described in detail in the appendices. The report is one of a series addressing transportation energy consumption; it supplants and replaces an earlier version published in October 1978 (ORNL/Sub-78/13536/1).},
doi = {10.2172/5574298},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Sat Mar 01 00:00:00 EST 1980},
month = {Sat Mar 01 00:00:00 EST 1980}
}
-
Worldwide transportation energy demand for both commodities and passengers are forecast for 1975--2000. Much data are compiled in 68 figures and 20 tables. The long-range forecast methodology is first described. Then regional aggregation and economic/demographic projects are covered. Information on transportation projections and transportation energy projections complete the chapters. A transportation energy data base is discussed in Appendix A with a complete list of transportation variables that are incorporated in the data base tabulated. Energy coefficients are included in Appendix B. (MCW)
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