The hazard in using probabilistic seismic hazard analysis

Journal Article · Mon Nov 01 00:00:00 EST 1993 · Civil Engineering (New York, 1983); (United States)

OSTI ID:5454550

Krinitzsky, E L ^[1]

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1. Army Corps of Engineers Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburgh, MS (United States). Geotechnical Lab.

Earthquake experts rely on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for everything from emergency-response planning to development of building codes. Unfortunately, says the author, the analysis is defective for the large earthquakes that pose the greater risks. Structures have short lifetimes and the distance over which earthquakes cause damage are relatively small. Exceptions serve to prove the rule. To be useful in engineering, earthquakes hazard assessment must focus narrowly in both time and space.

• OSTI ID: 5454550
• Journal Information: Civil Engineering (New York, 1983); (United States), Vol. 63:11; ISSN 0885-7024
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS
13 HYDRO ENERGY
EARTHQUAKES
RISK ASSESSMENT
ERRORS
GROUND MOTION
SEISMIC EFFECTS
SOIL-STRUCTURE INTERACTIONS
MOTION
SEISMIC EVENTS
220900* - Nuclear Reactor Technology- Reactor Safety
220200 - Nuclear Reactor Technology- Components & Accessories
130200 - Hydro Energy- Site Geology & Meteorology