Probabilistic accident consequence uncertainty analysis: Food chain uncertainty assessment. Volume 1: Main report
- National Radiological Protection Board (United Kingdom)
- Delft Univ. of Technology (Netherlands); and others
This volume is the first of a two-volume document that summarizes a joint project conducted by the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the European Commission to assess uncertainties in the MACCS and COSYMA probabilistic accident consequence codes. These codes were developed primarily for estimating the risks presented by nuclear reactors based on postulated frequencies and magnitudes of potential accidents. This document reports on an ongoing project to assess uncertainty in the MACCS and COSYMA calculations for the offsite consequences of radionuclide releases by hypothetical nuclear power plant accidents. A panel of sixteen experts was formed to compile credible and traceable uncertainty distributions for food chain variables that affect calculations of offsite consequences. The expert judgment elicitation procedure and its outcomes are described in these volumes. Other panels were formed to consider uncertainty in other aspects of the codes. Their results are described in companion reports. Volume 1 contains background information and a complete description of the joint consequence uncertainty study. Volume 2 contains appendices that include (1) a summary of the MACCS and COSYMA consequence codes, (2) the elicitation questionnaires and case structures for both panels, (3) the rationales and results for the panels on soil and plant transfer and animal transfer, (4) short biographies of the experts, and (5) the aggregated results of their responses.
- Research Organization:
- US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), Washington, DC (United States). Div. of Systems Technology; Commission of the European Communities, Brussels (Belgium); National Radiological Protection Board, Harwell (United Kingdom); Technische Univ. Delft (Netherlands); Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States); New Mexico Univ., Albuquerque, NM (United States); Lockheed Idaho Technologies Co., Idaho Falls, ID (United States); Hawaii Univ., Hilo, HI (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC (United States); Commission of the European Communities, Brussels (Belgium)
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC04-94AL85000
- OSTI ID:
- 510290
- Report Number(s):
- NUREG/CR-6523-Vol.1; EUR-16771-Vol.1; SAND-97-0335-Vol.1; ON: TI97007926; IN: CG-NA-16-771-EN-C; CNN: Contract EC F13P-CT92-0023; Contract EC 93-ET 001; TRN: 97:014503
- Resource Relation:
- Other Information: PBD: Jun 1997
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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