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Title: Demographic responses to sea level rise in California

Abstract

Human consequences of sea level rise in California coastal counties reflect increasing population densities. Populations of coastal counties potentially affected by sea level rise are projected to increase from 26.2 million persons in 1990 to 63.3 million persons in 2040. Urbanization dominates Los Angeles and the South Coast and San Francisco Bay and Delta regions. California shoreline populations subject to potential disruption impacts of sea level rise are increasing rapidly. Enhanced risk zones for sea level rise are specified for the Oxnard Plain of Ventura County on the south coast of California. Four separate sea level rise scenarios are considered: (1) low (sea level rise only); (2) moderate (adding erosion); (3) high (adding erosion and storm surges); and (4) a maximum case, a 3 m enhanced risk zone. Population impacts are outlined for the 3 m zone. More serious impacts from storm surges are expected than from sea level rise and erosion. Stakeholders who support or oppose policies which may expose populations to sea level rise include energy, commercial, financial, industrial, public agency, private interest and governmental organizations. These organizations respond to extreme events from differing positions. Vested interests determine the degree of mitigation employed by stakeholders to defer impactsmore » of sea level rise.« less

Authors:
 [1]; ; ; ; ;  [2]
  1. California Lutheran Univ., Thousand Oaks, CA (United States)
  2. Univ. of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA (United States)
Publication Date:
OSTI Identifier:
470980
Report Number(s):
CONF-960420-
ISBN 0-884736-02-5; TRN: IM9722%%103
Resource Type:
Conference
Resource Relation:
Conference: 7. global warming international conference and exposition, Vienna (Austria), 1-3 Apr 1996; Other Information: PBD: 1996; Related Information: Is Part Of The 7. global warming international conference and expo: Abstracts; PB: 154 p.
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 29 ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY; SEA LEVEL; POPULATION DYNAMICS; CALIFORNIA; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; VARIATIONS

Citation Formats

Constable, A, Univ. of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, Van Arsdol, Jr, M D, Sherman, D J, Wang, J, McMullin-Messier, P A, and Rollin, L. Demographic responses to sea level rise in California. United States: N. p., 1996. Web.
Constable, A, Univ. of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, Van Arsdol, Jr, M D, Sherman, D J, Wang, J, McMullin-Messier, P A, & Rollin, L. Demographic responses to sea level rise in California. United States.
Constable, A, Univ. of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, Van Arsdol, Jr, M D, Sherman, D J, Wang, J, McMullin-Messier, P A, and Rollin, L. 1996. "Demographic responses to sea level rise in California". United States.
@article{osti_470980,
title = {Demographic responses to sea level rise in California},
author = {Constable, A and Univ. of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA and Van Arsdol, Jr, M D and Sherman, D J and Wang, J and McMullin-Messier, P A and Rollin, L},
abstractNote = {Human consequences of sea level rise in California coastal counties reflect increasing population densities. Populations of coastal counties potentially affected by sea level rise are projected to increase from 26.2 million persons in 1990 to 63.3 million persons in 2040. Urbanization dominates Los Angeles and the South Coast and San Francisco Bay and Delta regions. California shoreline populations subject to potential disruption impacts of sea level rise are increasing rapidly. Enhanced risk zones for sea level rise are specified for the Oxnard Plain of Ventura County on the south coast of California. Four separate sea level rise scenarios are considered: (1) low (sea level rise only); (2) moderate (adding erosion); (3) high (adding erosion and storm surges); and (4) a maximum case, a 3 m enhanced risk zone. Population impacts are outlined for the 3 m zone. More serious impacts from storm surges are expected than from sea level rise and erosion. Stakeholders who support or oppose policies which may expose populations to sea level rise include energy, commercial, financial, industrial, public agency, private interest and governmental organizations. These organizations respond to extreme events from differing positions. Vested interests determine the degree of mitigation employed by stakeholders to defer impacts of sea level rise.},
doi = {},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/470980}, journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue Dec 31 00:00:00 EST 1996},
month = {Tue Dec 31 00:00:00 EST 1996}
}

Conference:
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