The economic impacts of climate change in water resource allocation and welfare on selected river basins in the United States
For this study, the authors developed three river basin planning models from the ground up and modified an existing model of the Colorado River basin to forecast the effects of parametric changes in monthly average precipitation and temperature in the individual basins. The models they developed are mathematical programming models (QP). The objective function of each model is to maximize the net present value of consumer and producer surplus of water users less flooding costs, subject to a flow and storage matrix of linear constraints. This matrix characterizes, in both time and space, the inflow of surface runoff, the flow of major rivers, storage of surface water in reservoirs, and the distribution of ground and surface water to users in the basin, as well as low and maximum flow constraints required to satisfy major institutional agreements in each basin. The authors modeled the Colorado River Basin, Missouri River Basin, Delaware River Basin, and the Apalachicola-Flint-Chatahooche River Basin. Using these models, they could simulate the effects of changes in monthly average temperature and precipitation on changes in: (1) the allocation of water to different types of consumptive and non-consumptive uses at different points in the basin; (2) surface water storage in major reservoirs; (3) the value of the net benefits of water use (including flooding) in the basin.
- OSTI ID:
- 470965
- Report Number(s):
- CONF-960420-; ISBN 0-884736-02-5; TRN: IM9722%%88
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: 7. global warming international conference and exposition, Vienna (Austria), 1-3 Apr 1996; Other Information: PBD: 1996; Related Information: Is Part Of The 7. global warming international conference and expo: Abstracts; PB: 154 p.
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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