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Title: Development of an integrated system for estimating human error probabilities

Abstract

This is the final report of a three-year, Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project at the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). This project had as its main objective the development of a Human Reliability Analysis (HRA), knowledge-based expert system that would provide probabilistic estimates for potential human errors within various risk assessments, safety analysis reports, and hazard assessments. HRA identifies where human errors are most likely, estimates the error rate for individual tasks, and highlights the most beneficial areas for system improvements. This project accomplished three major tasks. First, several prominent HRA techniques and associated databases were collected and translated into an electronic format. Next, the project started a knowledge engineering phase where the expertise, i.e., the procedural rules and data, were extracted from those techniques and compiled into various modules. Finally, these modules, rules, and data were combined into a nearly complete HRA expert system.

Authors:
; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Los Alamos National Lab., NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Assistant Secretary for Human Resources and Administration, Washington, DC (United States)
OSTI Identifier:
296684
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-98-2649
ON: DE99001272; TRN: AHC29903%%82
DOE Contract Number:  
W-7405-ENG-36
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Resource Relation:
Other Information: PBD: [1998]
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
29 ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY; 99 MATHEMATICS, COMPUTERS, INFORMATION SCIENCE, MANAGEMENT, LAW, MISCELLANEOUS; HUMAN FACTORS; PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION; SAFETY ANALYSIS; EXPERT SYSTEMS; RISK ASSESSMENT; ERRORS

Citation Formats

Auflick, J.L., Hahn, H.A., and Morzinski, J.A.. Development of an integrated system for estimating human error probabilities. United States: N. p., 1998. Web. doi:10.2172/296684.
Auflick, J.L., Hahn, H.A., & Morzinski, J.A.. Development of an integrated system for estimating human error probabilities. United States. doi:10.2172/296684.
Auflick, J.L., Hahn, H.A., and Morzinski, J.A.. Tue . "Development of an integrated system for estimating human error probabilities". United States. doi:10.2172/296684. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/296684.
@article{osti_296684,
title = {Development of an integrated system for estimating human error probabilities},
author = {Auflick, J.L. and Hahn, H.A. and Morzinski, J.A.},
abstractNote = {This is the final report of a three-year, Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project at the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). This project had as its main objective the development of a Human Reliability Analysis (HRA), knowledge-based expert system that would provide probabilistic estimates for potential human errors within various risk assessments, safety analysis reports, and hazard assessments. HRA identifies where human errors are most likely, estimates the error rate for individual tasks, and highlights the most beneficial areas for system improvements. This project accomplished three major tasks. First, several prominent HRA techniques and associated databases were collected and translated into an electronic format. Next, the project started a knowledge engineering phase where the expertise, i.e., the procedural rules and data, were extracted from those techniques and compiled into various modules. Finally, these modules, rules, and data were combined into a nearly complete HRA expert system.},
doi = {10.2172/296684},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue Dec 01 00:00:00 EST 1998},
month = {Tue Dec 01 00:00:00 EST 1998}
}

Technical Report:

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