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Title: Probabilistic accident consequence uncertainty analysis -- Uncertainty assessment for deposited material and external doses. Volume 1: Main report

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/291006· OSTI ID:291006
; ;  [1];  [2];  [3]; ;  [4];  [5]
  1. Delft Univ. of Technology (Netherlands)
  2. AEA Technology (United Kingdom)
  3. National Radiological Protection Board (United Kingdom)
  4. Sandia National Labs., Albuquerque, NM (United States)
  5. Univ. of Hawaii, Hilo, HI (United States)

The development of two new probabilistic accident consequence codes, MACCS and COSYMA, was completed in 1990. These codes estimate the consequence from the accidental releases of radiological material from hypothesized accidents at nuclear installations. In 1991, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the Commission of the European Communities began cosponsoring a joint uncertainty analysis of the two codes. The ultimate objective of this joint effort was to systematically develop credible and traceable uncertainty distributions for the respective code input variables. A formal expert judgment elicitation and evaluation process was identified as the best technology available for developing a library of uncertainty distributions for these consequence parameters. This report focuses on the results of the study to develop distribution for variables related to the MACCS and COSYMA deposited material and external dose models.

Research Organization:
Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Div. of Systems Technology, Washington, DC (United States); Commission of the European Communities, Brussels (Belgium); Delft Univ. of Technology (Netherlands); AEA Technology (United Kingdom); National Radiological Protection Board (United Kingdom); Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States); Univ. of Hawaii, Hilo, HI (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC (United States)
DOE Contract Number:
AC04-94AL85000
OSTI ID:
291006
Report Number(s):
NUREG/CR-6526-Vol.1; EUR-16772-Vol.1; SAND-97-2323-Vol.1; ON: TI99001180; IN: CG-NA-16772-EN-C; TRN: AHC29901%%211
Resource Relation:
Other Information: PBD: Dec 1997
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English