Development of North American emission inventories for air quality modeling under climate change

Woo, Jung-Hun; He, Shan; Tagaris, Efthimios; Liao, Kuo-Jen; Manomaiphiboon, Kasemsan; Amar, Praveen; Russell, Armistead G

Title: Development of North American emission inventories for air quality modeling under climate change

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Abstract

An approach that integrates the impact of both the current regulations and the longer-term national and global trends is developed to construct an emissions inventory (EI) for North America for the mid-century in support of a regional modeling study of ozone and particulate matter (PM) less than or equal to 2.5 {mu}m (PM2.5). Because the time horizon of such a distant projection is beyond that of EIs used in typical modeling studies, it is necessary to identify a practical approach that allows the emission projections to account for emission controls and climatic and energy-use changes. However, a technical challenge arises because this requires integration of various different types of information with which emissions from human activities are associated. The method developed here is based on data availability, spatiotemporal coverage and resolution, and future-scenario consistency (i.e., Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A1B), and consists of two major steps: (1) near-future EI projection (to the year 2020), and (2) longer-term EI projection (to mid-century). For the United States, the year-2050 emissions for nitrogen oxides (NOx), sulfur dioxide (SO{sub 2}), PM2.5, anthropogenic volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and ammonia are projected to change by 55, 55, 30, 40, andmore »« less

Authors:

Woo, Jung-Hun; He, Shan; Tagaris, Efthimios; Liao, Kuo-Jen; Manomaiphiboon, Kasemsan; Amar, Praveen; Russell, Armistead G ^[1]

Konkuk University, Seoul (Republic of Korea). Department of Advanced Technology Fusion

Publication Date:: Sat Nov 15 00:00:00 EST 2008

OSTI Identifier:: 21125953

Resource Type:: Journal Article

Journal Name:: Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association

Additional Journal Information:: Journal Volume: 58; Journal Issue: 11; Other Information: parnar@nescaum.org; Journal ID: ISSN 1047-3289

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; 20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS; NORTH AMERICA; INVENTORIES; CLIMATIC CHANGE; NITROGEN OXIDES; SULFUR DIOXIDE; CANADA; MEXICO; OZONE; PARTICULATES; CARBON MONOXIDE; VOLATILE MATTER; ORGANIC COMPOUNDS; POWER GENERATION; COAL; FUEL OILS; NATURAL GAS; BIOFUELS; USA; FORECASTING; POLLUTION SOURCES; REGIONAL ANALYSIS; AMMONIA; AIR QUALITY

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                    Woo, Jung-Hun, He, Shan, Tagaris, Efthimios, Liao, Kuo-Jen, Manomaiphiboon, Kasemsan, Amar, Praveen, and Russell, Armistead G. Development of North American emission inventories for air quality modeling under climate change.  United States: N. p., 2008. 
        Web.

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                    Woo, Jung-Hun, He, Shan, Tagaris, Efthimios, Liao, Kuo-Jen, Manomaiphiboon, Kasemsan, Amar, Praveen, & Russell, Armistead G. Development of North American emission inventories for air quality modeling under climate change.  United States.

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                    Woo, Jung-Hun, He, Shan, Tagaris, Efthimios, Liao, Kuo-Jen, Manomaiphiboon, Kasemsan, Amar, Praveen, and Russell, Armistead G. 2008.  
        "Development of North American emission inventories for air quality modeling under climate change".  United States.

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@article{osti_21125953,

  title        = {Development of North American emission inventories for air quality modeling under climate change},

  author       = {Woo, Jung-Hun and He, Shan and Tagaris, Efthimios and Liao, Kuo-Jen and Manomaiphiboon, Kasemsan and Amar, Praveen and Russell, Armistead G},

  abstractNote = {An approach that integrates the impact of both the current regulations and the longer-term national and global trends is developed to construct an emissions inventory (EI) for North America for the mid-century in support of a regional modeling study of ozone and particulate matter (PM) less than or equal to 2.5 {mu}m (PM2.5). Because the time horizon of such a distant projection is beyond that of EIs used in typical modeling studies, it is necessary to identify a practical approach that allows the emission projections to account for emission controls and climatic and energy-use changes. However, a technical challenge arises because this requires integration of various different types of information with which emissions from human activities are associated. The method developed here is based on data availability, spatiotemporal coverage and resolution, and future-scenario consistency (i.e., Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A1B), and consists of two major steps: (1) near-future EI projection (to the year 2020), and (2) longer-term EI projection (to mid-century). For the United States, the year-2050 emissions for nitrogen oxides (NOx), sulfur dioxide (SO{sub 2}), PM2.5, anthropogenic volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and ammonia are projected to change by 55, 55, 30, 40, and 20%, respectively, compared with 2001. NOx and SO{sub 2} Emission changes are very similar in total amount but different in sectoral contribution. The projected emission trends for Canada and Mexico differ considerably. After taking into account the modeled climate changes, biogenic VOC emission increases from three countries overwhelm the decreases in anthropogenic VOC emissions, leading to a net small increase (2%) in overall VOC emissions. 16 refs., 8 figs., 4 tabs.},

  doi          = {},

  url          = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/21125953},
  journal      = {Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association},

  issn         = {1047-3289},

  number       = 11,

  volume       = 58,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Sat Nov 15 00:00:00 EST 2008},

  month        = {Sat Nov 15 00:00:00 EST 2008}

}

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