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Impact of Wildfires on Solar Generation, Reserves and Energy Prices

Conference ·
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Wildfire seasons in the Western U.S. become more prolonged and intense in recent years bringing significant variability and uncertainty of solar generation. It greatly challenges the bulk power system and electricity market operation managed by California Independent System Operator (CAISO) as California leads both the wildfire records and the solar power integration. This study presents a screening-level analysis of the impact of wildfires on solar generation, operating reserve and energy prices applying historical real-world wildfire and market operation data. To the best of the authors knowledge, it is a first-of-its-kind study and will lay the foundation for market impact quantification and wildfire mitigation strategies design based on projected wildfire activities in future years.

Research Organization:
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Renewable Power Office. Solar Energy Technologies Office
DOE Contract Number:
AC36-08GO28308
OSTI ID:
1996225
Report Number(s):
NREL/CP-5D00-85467; MainId:86240; UUID:dfef5505-315f-4976-80d8-5d07251b5a46; MainAdminID:70250
Resource Relation:
Conference: Presented at the 2023 IEEE Green Technologies Conference (GreenTech), 19-21 April 2023, Denver, Colorado
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (7)

Quantifying Wildfire-Induced Impacts to Photovoltaic Energy Production in the western United States conference June 2021
Temporal Solar Photovoltaic Generation Capacity Reduction From Wildfire Smoke journal January 2021
Assessing climate change impacts on California hydropower generation and ancillary services provision journal November 2018
The Effects of Climate Change on Interregional Electricity Market Dynamics on the U.S. West Coast journal December 2021
Compound hydrometeorological extremes across multiple timescales drive volatility in California electricity market prices and emissions journal October 2020
Assessing risks for New England's wholesale electricity market from wind power losses during extreme winter storms journal July 2022
Assessment of projected temperature impacts from climate change on the U.S. electric power sector using the Integrated Planning Model® journal October 2014

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Related Subjects

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY,SOLAR ENERGY
electricity price
operating reserve
solar generation
wildfire