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Interpretable Data-Driven Probabilistic Power System Load Margin Assessment with Uncertain Renewable Energy and Loads

Conference ·

The increasing uncertainties caused by the high-penetration of stochastic renewable generation resources poses a significant threat to the power system voltage stability. To address this issue, this paper proposes a probabilistic deep kernel learning enabled surrogate model to extract the hidden relationship between uncertain sources, i.e., wind power and loads, and load margin for probabilistic load margin assessment (PLMA). Unlike other deep learning approaches, a kernel SHAP provides the sensitivity analysis as well as interpretability of the inputs to outputs influences. This allows identifying the critical factors that affect load margin so that corrective control can be initiated for stability enhancement. Numerical results carried out on the IEEE 118-bus power system demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed data-driven PLMA scheme.

Research Organization:
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Grid Modernization Laboratory Consortium (GMLC)
DOE Contract Number:
AC36-08GO28308
OSTI ID:
1957999
Report Number(s):
NREL/CP-5D00-85359; MainId:86132; UUID:ebe6c0d9-616e-48bd-9df2-06a08dbf1761; MainAdminID:68791
Resource Relation:
Conference: Presented at the 2022 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies - Asia (ISGT Asia), 1-5 November 2022, Singapore
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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