skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Environmental co-benefits and adverse side-effects of alternative power sector decarbonization strategies

Journal Article · · Nature Communications
ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [3]; ORCiD logo [4]; ORCiD logo [5];  [6];  [7];  [8]; ORCiD logo [5]; ORCiD logo [8];  [9]; ORCiD logo [10];  [5];  [5];  [6]; ORCiD logo [11]; ORCiD logo [12]
  1. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam (Germany); Technische Univ. Berlin, Berlin (Germany)
  2. Technische Univ. Berlin, Berlin (Germany)
  3. Norwegian Univ. of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim (Norway)
  4. Norwegian Univ. of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim (Norway); Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology (LIST), Belvaux (Luxembourg)
  5. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam (Germany)
  6. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (The Netherlands)
  7. International Inst. for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg (Austria)
  8. Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), College Park, MD (United States)
  9. Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble (France)
  10. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam (Germany); Utrecht Univ., Utrecht (The Netherlands)
  11. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (The Netherlands); Utrecht Univ., Utrecht (The Netherlands)
  12. Norwegian Univ. of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim (Norway); Yale Univ., New Haven, CT (United States)

A rapid and deep decarbonization of power supply worldwide is a pivotal element of any strategy for limiting global warming to well below 2 °C. Previous studies have shown substantial flexibility in technology choice for achieving near carbon-free electricity supply. Here we combine scenarios from integrated assessment models with forward-looking life-cycle assessment to explore how alternative power sector decarbonization strategies compare on the system level in terms of non-climate environmental impacts. While all strategies yield major environmental co-benefits, we find that the scale of co-benefits as well as profiles of adverse side-effects depend strongly on technology choice. Mitigation scenarios focusing on wind and solar power are more effective in reducing human health impacts compared to those focusing on nuclear and CCS, while inducing a more pronounced shift away from fossil toward mineral resource depletion. Conversely, an increase in land requirements, chiefly for bioenergy, exacerbates non-climate ecosystem damage from power supply in all decarbonization scenarios.

Research Organization:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
Grant/Contract Number:
AC05-76RL01830
OSTI ID:
1577971
Report Number(s):
PNNL-ACT-SA-10352
Journal Information:
Nature Communications, Vol. 10, Issue 1; ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher:
Nature Publishing GroupCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 102 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

References (77)

Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways journal June 2018
Resource constraints in a hydrogen economy based on renewable energy sources: An exploration journal December 2010
Land use and electricity generation: A life-cycle analysis journal August 2009
Confronting variability with uncertainty in the ecotoxicological impact assessment of down-the-drain products journal May 2019
Integrated life-cycle assessment of electricity-supply scenarios confirms global environmental benefit of low-carbon technologies journal October 2014
Challenges in Metal Recycling journal August 2012
Harmonizing the Assessment of Biodiversity Effects from Land and Water Use within LCA journal February 2015
Cost-effective control of air quality and greenhouse gases in Europe: Modeling and policy applications journal December 2011
Application of uncertainty and variability in LCA journal September 1998
Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 °C stabilization: a short-term multi-model assessment journal April 2018
Is the optimal decarbonization pathway influenced by indirect emissions? Incorporating indirect life-cycle carbon dioxide emissions into a European TIMES model journal January 2018
Surplus Ore Potential as a Scarcity Indicator for Resource Extraction: Surplus Ore Potential as a Scarcity Indicator for Resource Extraction journal June 2016
The role of technology for achieving climate policy objectives: overview of the EMF 27 study on global technology and climate policy strategies journal January 2014
Trade-offs between land and water requirements for large-scale bioenergy production journal November 2014
Understanding future emissions from low-carbon power systems by integration of life-cycle assessment and integrated energy modelling journal December 2017
Harmonization of land-use scenarios for the period 1500–2100: 600 years of global gridded annual land-use transitions, wood harvest, and resulting secondary lands journal August 2011
Interdisciplinary assessment of renewable, nuclear and fossil power generation with and without carbon capture and storage in view of the new Swiss energy policy journal November 2016
Characterization model to assess ocean acidification within life cycle assessment journal April 2016
Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways journal January 2017
Influence of climate change mitigation technology on global demands of water for electricity generation journal March 2013
Application of a high-detail energy system model to derive power sector characteristics at high wind and solar shares journal May 2017
Identifying best existing practice for characterization modeling in life cycle impact assessment journal September 2012
Using the sun to decarbonize the power sector: The economic potential of photovoltaics and concentrating solar power journal December 2014
An Estimate of the Global Burden of Anthropogenic Ozone and Fine Particulate Matter on Premature Human Mortality Using Atmospheric Modeling journal September 2010
Deriving life cycle assessment coefficients for application in integrated assessment modelling journal January 2018
An improved global wind resource estimate for integrated assessment models journal May 2017
Decarbonizing global power supply under region-specific consideration of challenges and options of integrating variable renewables in the REMIND model journal May 2017
Exploring the macro-scale CO 2 mitigation potential of photovoltaics and wind energy in Europe's energy transition journal May 2017
Operational water consumption and withdrawal factors for electricity generating technologies: a review of existing literature journal December 2012
Bioenergy in energy transformation and climate management journal December 2013
Energy sector water use implications of a 2 °C climate policy journal March 2016
The ecoinvent Database: Overview and Methodological Framework (7 pp) journal October 2004
Comparative risk assessment of severe accidents in the energy sector journal December 2014
Global analysis of nitrogen and phosphorus limitation of primary producers in freshwater, marine and terrestrial ecosystems journal December 2007
Quantifying Land Use Impacts on Biodiversity: Combining Species–Area Models and Vulnerability Indicators journal July 2015
Global energy sector emission reductions and bioenergy use: overview of the bioenergy demand phase of the EMF-33 model comparison journal July 2018
Land-use transition for bioenergy and climate stabilization: model comparison of drivers, impacts and interactions with other land use based mitigation options journal September 2013
The role of renewable energy in climate stabilization: results from the EMF27 scenarios journal October 2013
A multi-model assessment of the co-benefits of climate mitigation for global air quality journal December 2016
The economic resource scarcity potential (ESP) for evaluating resource use based on life cycle assessment journal November 2013
Health effects of technologies for power generation: Contributions from normal operation, severe accidents and terrorist threat journal January 2016
Land-use protection for climate change mitigation journal November 2014
Water demand for electricity in deep decarbonisation scenarios: a multi-model assessment journal November 2017
Ecosystem quality in LCIA: status quo, harmonization, and suggestions for the way forward journal November 2017
Tools for Comparative Analysis of Alternatives: Competing or Complementary Perspectives? journal October 2002
System integration of wind and solar power in integrated assessment models: A cross-model evaluation of new approaches journal May 2017
Global guidance on environmental life cycle impact assessment indicators: progress and case study journal January 2016
Life cycle GHG assessment of fossil fuel power plants with carbon capture and storage journal January 2008
Economic mitigation challenges: how further delay closes the door for achieving climate targets journal September 2013
The contribution of outdoor air pollution sources to premature mortality on a global scale journal September 2015
Human health damages due to ionising radiation in life cycle impact assessment journal April 2000
Bioenergy and climate change mitigation: an assessment journal July 2014
Environmental impacts of high penetration renewable energy scenarios for Europe journal January 2016
Uncertain Environmental Footprint of Current and Future Battery Electric Vehicles journal March 2018
Towards a meaningful assessment of marine ecological impacts in life cycle assessment (LCA) journal April 2016
When the Background Matters: Using Scenarios from Integrated Assessment Models in Prospective Life Cycle Assessment journal November 2018
Health benefits, ecological threats of low-carbon electricity journal March 2017
ReCiPe2016: a harmonised life cycle impact assessment method at midpoint and endpoint level journal December 2016
Energy Balance of the Global Photovoltaic (PV) Industry - Is the PV Industry a Net Electricity Producer? journal March 2013
Long-term water demand for electricity, industry and households journal January 2016
Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity journal April 2015
LCIA framework and cross-cutting issues guidance within the UNEP-SETAC Life Cycle Initiative journal September 2017
Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways journal January 2017
Getting from here to there – energy technology transformation pathways in the EMF27 scenarios journal December 2013
The impact of climate change mitigation on water demand for energy and food: An integrated analysis based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways journal October 2016
A Methodology for Integrated, Multiregional Life Cycle Assessment Scenarios under Large-Scale Technological Change journal July 2015
Assessment of wind and solar power in global low-carbon energy scenarios: An introduction journal May 2017
Criticality of the Rare Earth Elements: Criticality of the Rare Earth Elements journal March 2015
Long-term global water projections using six socioeconomic scenarios in an integrated assessment modeling framework journal January 2014
National climate policy implications of mitigating embodied energy system emissions journal February 2016
An integrated assessment of global and regional water demands for electricity generation to 2095 journal February 2013
Impacts of River Water Consumption on Aquatic Biodiversity in Life Cycle Assessment—A Proposed Method, and a Case Study for Europe journal March 2014
Multi-criteria decision analysis of energy system transformation pathways: A case study for Switzerland journal July 2017
Life cycle assessment demonstrates environmental co-benefits and trade-offs of low-carbon electricity supply options journal September 2017
An Estimate of the Global Burden of Anthropogenic Ozone and 
Fine Particulate Matter on Premature Human Mortality Using 
Atmospheric Modeling text January 2010
System Integration of Wind and Solar Power in Integrated Assessment Models: A Cross-Model Evaluation of New Approaches journal January 2017
Health benefits, ecological threats of low-carbon electricity audiovisual January 2017


Similar Records

Related Subjects