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Title: Global energetics and local physics as drivers of past, present and future monsoons

Journal Article · · Nature Geoscience
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [4]; ORCiD logo [5]; ORCiD logo [6];  [7]; ORCiD logo [8];  [9];  [10];  [11];  [12]
  1. Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States). Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
  2. Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States). Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory; Karlsruhe Inst. of Technology (KIT) (Germany). Inst. of Meteorology and Climate Research
  3. Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States). Dept. of Earth and Planetary Science
  4. Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex (France)
  5. Blue Skies Research, Settle (United Kingdom)
  6. Univ. of Reading, Reading (United Kingdom). School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Science
  7. Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan (South Korea). School of Urban and Environmental Engineering
  8. Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL (United States)
  9. Univ. of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC (United States). Dept. of Geography and Earth Sciences
  10. Texas A & M Univ., College Station, TX (United States). Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences
  11. Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States). Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory; Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States). Dept. of Earth and Environmental Sciences and Dept. of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics
  12. Univ. of California, San Diego, CA (United States). Scripps Inst. of Oceanography

Global constraints on momentum and energy govern the variability of the rainfall belt in the intertropical convergence zone and the structure of the zonal mean tropical circulation. The continental-scale monsoon systems are also facets of a momentum- and energy-constrained global circulation, but their modern and palaeo variability deviates substantially from that of the intertropical convergence zone. The mechanisms underlying deviations from expectations based on the longitudinal mean budgets are neither fully understood nor simulated accurately. We argue that a framework grounded in global constraints on energy and momentum yet encompassing the complexities of monsoon dynamics is needed to identify the causes of the mismatch between theory, models and observations, and ultimately to improve regional climate projections. In a first step towards this goal, disparate regional processes must be distilled into gross measures of energy flow in and out of continents and between the surface and the tropopause, so that monsoon dynamics may be coherently diagnosed across modern and palaeo observations and across idealized and comprehensive simulations. Accounting for zonal asymmetries in the circulation, land/ocean differences in surface fluxes, and the character of convective systems, such a monsoon framework would integrate our understanding at all relevant scales: from the fine details of how moisture and energy are lifted in the updrafts of thunderclouds, up to the global circulations.

Research Organization:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-05CH11231
OSTI ID:
1561892
Journal Information:
Nature Geoscience, Vol. 11, Issue 6; ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher:
Nature Publishing GroupCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 72 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

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Cited By (14)

Rainfall trends in the African Sahel: Characteristics, processes, and causes journal June 2019
Monsoon Responses to Climate Changes—Connecting Past, Present and Future journal March 2019
Diversity of ENSO Events Unified by Convective Threshold Sea Surface Temperature: A Nonlinear ENSO Index journal September 2018
Northern Hemisphere Monsoon Response to Mid‐Holocene Orbital Forcing and Greenhouse Gas‐Induced Global Warming journal February 2019
Distinct Influences of Land Cover and Land Management on Seasonal Climate journal November 2018
A Moist Entropy Budget View of the South Asian Summer Monsoon Onset journal April 2019
Understanding Monsoonal Water Cycle Changes in a Warmer Climate in E3SMv1 Using a Normalized Gross Moist Stability Framework journal October 2019
Modulation of Indian monsoon by water vapor and cloud feedback over the past 22,000 years journal December 2019
A Window into Africa’s Past Hydroclimates: The SISAL_v1 Database Contribution journal January 2019
The response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from climate projections journal January 2019
Variable correspondence between western North Pacific tropical cyclone frequency and East Asian subtropical jet stream during boreal summer: A tropical Pacific sea surface temperature perspective journal November 2018
Detection, variability, and predictability of monsoon onset and withdrawal dates: A review journal August 2019
Theories for Past and Future Monsoon Rainfall Changes journal June 2019
Northern Hemisphere Stationary Waves in a Changing Climate journal November 2019

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