Mapping Cheatgrass Across the Range of the Greater Sage-Grouse: Linking Biophysical, Climate and Remote Sensing Data to Predict Cheatgrass Occurrence
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Increasing spread of invasive annual grasses, such as Bromus tectorum (cheatgrass), can contribute to increased fire frequency and hinder the reestablishment of native sagebrush, forbs, and grasses in subsequent years. Knowledge of the current distribution of cheatgrass on the landscape is a key component in planning and executing strategies to protect sagebrush ecosystems and sensitive wildlife species such as the Greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus). Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) worked with US Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) to assemble and derive information to map cheatgrass occurrence across the historic range of sage-grouse. The information and map products described in this report can help land managers prioritize conservation efforts at the species’ range scale. We constructed an ecological model based on a suite of climatic and biophysical variables and satellite measures of peak NDVI (normalized difference vegetation index) – an index of vegetation greenness – to predict cheatgrass occurrence across the historic range of sage-grouse in the United States. More than 24,000 field measurements of cheatgrass cover across the study area were acquired from various agencies and research groups and reviewed for use in the modeling efforts. A subset of 6650 field measurement points were identified and verified for use in statistical analyses. For each measurement location we derived a suite of 50 biophysical and NDVI variables correlated with cheatgrass occurrence. Pairwise correlation of variables was examined to remove highly-correlated variables from the model. A total of 13 variables were retained for use in forward-stepping discriminant analysis and modeling. Discriminant scores were used to determine probability of cheatgrass occurrence, which was broken into two relative cover classes: 0% to 2% cover and > 2% cheatgrass cover. This report describes the data and methods used to develop the model and the cheatgrass occurrence map. We provide a brief discussion of the accuracy of classification, and describe the appropriate scale of use for map results. The range-wide map of occurrence will be made available online for FWS and partner agencies.
- Research Organization:
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830
- OSTI ID:
- 1545321
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-25517
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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