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Title: Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures

Abstract

This paper explores potential future implications of climate change on building energy expenditures around the globe. Increasing expenditures result from increased electricity use for cooling, and are offset to varying degrees, depending on the region, by decreased energy consumption for heating. The analysis is conducted using a model of the global buildings sector within the GCAM integrated assessment model. The integrated assessment framework is valuable because it represents socioeconomic and energy system changes that will be important for understanding building energy expenditures in the future. Results indicate that changes in net expenditures are not uniform across the globe. Net expenditures decrease in some regions, such as Canada and Russia, where heating demands currently dominate, and increase the most in areas with less demand for space heating and greater demand for space cooling. We explain these results in terms of the basic drivers that link building energy expenditures to regional climate.

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [1];  [1]; ORCiD logo [1];  [4];  [1];  [1]
  1. BATTELLE (PACIFIC NW LAB)
  2. VISITORS
  3. U.S. Department of Energy
  4. ExxonMobil
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1545025
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-131718
DOE Contract Number:  
AC05-76RL01830
Resource Type:
Journal Article
Journal Name:
Energy Economics
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 72
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
Climate change impacts

Citation Formats

Clarke, Leon E., Eom, Jiyong, Hodson, Elke L., Horowitz, Russell L., Kyle, Gordon P., Link, Robert P., Mignone, Bryan, Mundra, Anupriya, and Zhou, Yuyu. Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures. United States: N. p., 2018. Web. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003.
Clarke, Leon E., Eom, Jiyong, Hodson, Elke L., Horowitz, Russell L., Kyle, Gordon P., Link, Robert P., Mignone, Bryan, Mundra, Anupriya, & Zhou, Yuyu. Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures. United States. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003.
Clarke, Leon E., Eom, Jiyong, Hodson, Elke L., Horowitz, Russell L., Kyle, Gordon P., Link, Robert P., Mignone, Bryan, Mundra, Anupriya, and Zhou, Yuyu. Tue . "Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures". United States. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003.
@article{osti_1545025,
title = {Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures},
author = {Clarke, Leon E. and Eom, Jiyong and Hodson, Elke L. and Horowitz, Russell L. and Kyle, Gordon P. and Link, Robert P. and Mignone, Bryan and Mundra, Anupriya and Zhou, Yuyu},
abstractNote = {This paper explores potential future implications of climate change on building energy expenditures around the globe. Increasing expenditures result from increased electricity use for cooling, and are offset to varying degrees, depending on the region, by decreased energy consumption for heating. The analysis is conducted using a model of the global buildings sector within the GCAM integrated assessment model. The integrated assessment framework is valuable because it represents socioeconomic and energy system changes that will be important for understanding building energy expenditures in the future. Results indicate that changes in net expenditures are not uniform across the globe. Net expenditures decrease in some regions, such as Canada and Russia, where heating demands currently dominate, and increase the most in areas with less demand for space heating and greater demand for space cooling. We explain these results in terms of the basic drivers that link building energy expenditures to regional climate.},
doi = {10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003},
journal = {Energy Economics},
number = ,
volume = 72,
place = {United States},
year = {2018},
month = {5}
}