Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures

Clarke, Leon E.; Eom, Jiyong; Hodson, Elke L.; Horowitz, Russell L.; Kyle, Gordon P.; Link, Robert P.; Mignone, Bryan; Mundra, Anupriya; Zhou, Yuyu

doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003

Title: Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures

Journal Article · Tue May 01 00:00:00 EDT 2018 · Energy Economics

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003· OSTI ID:1545025

Clarke, Leon E. ^[1]; Eom, Jiyong ^[2]; Hodson, Elke L. ^[3]; Horowitz, Russell L. ^[1]; Kyle, Gordon P. ^[1];

^[1]; Mignone, Bryan ^[4]; Mundra, Anupriya ^[1]; Zhou, Yuyu ^[1]

BATTELLE (PACIFIC NW LAB)
VISITORS
U.S. Department of Energy
ExxonMobil

This paper explores potential future implications of climate change on building energy expenditures around the globe. Increasing expenditures result from increased electricity use for cooling, and are offset to varying degrees, depending on the region, by decreased energy consumption for heating. The analysis is conducted using a model of the global buildings sector within the GCAM integrated assessment model. The integrated assessment framework is valuable because it represents socioeconomic and energy system changes that will be important for understanding building energy expenditures in the future. Results indicate that changes in net expenditures are not uniform across the globe. Net expenditures decrease in some regions, such as Canada and Russia, where heating demands currently dominate, and increase the most in areas with less demand for space heating and greater demand for space cooling. We explain these results in terms of the basic drivers that link building energy expenditures to regional climate.

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Research Organization:: Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE

DOE Contract Number:: AC05-76RL01830

OSTI ID:: 1545025

Report Number(s):: PNNL-SA-131718

Journal Information:: Energy Economics, Vol. 72

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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Cited By (4)

Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Graham, Neal T.; Hejazi, Mohamad I.; Chen, Min Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 15, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab639b	journal	January 2020
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Seasonal effects of climate change on intra-day electricity demand patterns Ralston Fonseca, Francisco; Jaramillo, Paulina; Bergés, Mario Climatic Change, Vol. 154, Issue 3-4 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02413-w	journal	March 2019
Decomposing supply-side and demand-side impacts of climate change on the US electricity system through 2050 Steinberg, Daniel C.; Mignone, Bryan K.; Macknick, Jordan Climatic Change, Vol. 158, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02506-6	journal	January 2020

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