Spatial–temporal changes in runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention under 1.5 and 2°C warming scenarios across China

Zhai, Ran; Tao, Fulu; Xu, Zhihui

doi:10.5194/esd-9-717-2018

Title: Spatial–temporal changes in runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention under 1.5 and 2°C warming scenarios across China

Journal Article · Thu Jun 07 00:00:00 EDT 2018 · Earth System Dynamics (Online)

DOI:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-717-2018· OSTI ID:1544105

Zhai, Ran ^[1]; Tao, Fulu ^[2]; Xu, Zhihui ^[3]

Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing (China); Univ. of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing (China)
Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing (China); Univ. of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing (China); Natural Resources Inst. Finland (Luke), Helsinki (Finland)
Information Center of Yellow River Conservancy Commission, Zhengzhou (China)

The Paris Agreement set a long-term temperature goal of holding the global average temperature increase to below 2.0 °C above pre-industrial levels, pursuing efforts to limit this to 1.5 °C; it is therefore important to understand the impacts of climate change under 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming scenarios for climate adaptation and mitigation. Here, climate scenarios from four global circulation models (GCMs) for the baseline (2006–2015), 1.5, and 2.0 °C warming scenarios (2106–2115) were used to drive the validated Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological model to investigate the impacts of global warming on runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention (TEWR) across China at a spatial resolution of 0.5°. This study applied ensemble projections from multiple GCMs to provide more comprehensive and robust results.

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Research Organization:: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States). National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE

OSTI ID:: 1544105

Journal Information:: Earth System Dynamics (Online), Vol. 9, Issue 2; ISSN 2190-4987

Publisher:: European Geosciences UnionCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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Cited by: 18 works

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