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Title: Prospects for observing and localizing gravitational-wave transients with Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA

Journal Article · · Living Reviews in Relativity
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We present possible observing scenarios for the Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA gravitational-wave detectors over the next decade, with the intention of providing information to the astronomy community to facilitate planning for multi-messenger astronomy with gravitational waves. We estimate the sensitivity of the network to transient gravitational-wave signals, and study the capability of the network to determine the sky location of the source. We report our findings for gravitational-wave transients, with particular focus on gravitational-wave signals from the inspiral of binary neutron star systems, which are the most promising targets for multi-messenger astronomy. The ability to localize the sources of the detected signals depends on the geographical distribution of the detectors and their relative sensitivity, and 90% credible regions can be as large as thousands of square degrees when only two sensitive detectors are operational. Determining the sky position of a significant fraction of detected signals to areas of 5– 20 deg2 requires at least three detectors of sensitivity within a factor of ~2 of each other and with a broad frequency bandwidth. When all detectors, including KAGRA and the third LIGO detector in India, reach design sensitivity, a significant fraction of gravitational-wave signals will be localized to a few square degrees by gravitational-wave observations alone.

Research Organization:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
Contributing Organization:
KAGRA Collaboration, LIGO Scientific Collaboration and Virgo Collaboration; National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC)
OSTI ID:
1543501
Journal Information:
Living Reviews in Relativity, Vol. 21, Issue 1; ISSN 2367-3613
Publisher:
Springer NatureCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 51 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

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Electromagnetic afterglows associated with gamma-ray emission coincident with binary black hole merger event GW150914 journal May 2016
An Empirical Limit on the Kilonova Rate from the DLT40 One Day Cadence Supernova Survey journal December 2017
J-GEM follow-up observations of the gravitational wave source GW151226* journal December 2016
A peculiar low-luminosity short gamma-ray burst from a double neutron star merger progenitor journal January 2018
Planck 2015 results : XXIII. The thermal Sunyaev-Zeldovich effect-cosmic infrared background correlation journal September 2016
Triangulation of gravitational wave sources with a network of detectors journal June 2011
A gravitational-wave standard siren measurement of the Hubble constant.
  • Collaboration, LIGO Scientific; Collaboration,, 1m2h; Collaboration, Dark Energy Camera GW-EM
  • Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository https://doi.org/10.17863/cam.31821
text January 2017
High-energy neutrino follow-up search of gravitational wave event GW150914 with ANTARES and IceCube text January 2016
Fermi Observations of the LIGO Event GW170104 text January 2017
Search for Gravitational Waves Associated with Gamma-Ray Bursts during the First Advanced LIGO Observing Run and Implications for the Origin of GRB 150906B other January 2017
Planck 2015 results : XXVI. The Second journal September 2016
Properties of the Binary Black Hole Merger GW150914 other January 2016
Binary Black Hole Mergers in the First Advanced LIGO Observing Run other January 2016
GW170104: Observation of a 50-Solar-Mass Binary Black Hole Coalescence at Redshift 0.2 other January 2017
Construction of KAGRA: An underground gravitational-wave observatory other January 2018
An Empirical Limit on the Kilonova Rate from the DLT40 One Day Cadence Supernova Survey text January 2017
Pan-STARRS and PESSTO search for an optical counterpart to the LIGO gravitational-wave source GW150914 text January 2016
Low-frequency gravitational-wave science with eLISA/NGO text January 2012
The gravitational wave burst signal from core collapse of rotating stars text January 2008
Model Waveform Accuracy Standards for Gravitational Wave Data Analysis text January 2008
Exploring short gamma-ray bursts as gravitational-wave standard sirens text January 2009
Triangulation of gravitational wave sources with a network of detectors text January 2009
Localizing compact binary inspirals on the sky using ground-based gravitational wave interferometers text January 2011
What is the Most Promising Electromagnetic Counterpart of a Neutron Star Binary Merger? text January 2011
Effect of calibration errors on Bayesian parameter estimation for gravitational wave signals from inspiral binary systems in the advanced detectors era text January 2011
Interferometer design of the KAGRA gravitational wave detector text January 2013
Implications of PSR J0737-3039B for the Galactic NS-NS Binary Merger Rate text January 2013
On Discovering Electromagnetic Emission from Neutron Star Mergers: The Early Years of Two Gravitational Wave Detectors text January 2013
Basic Parameter Estimation of Binary Neutron Star Systems by the Advanced LIGO/Virgo Network text January 2013
Enhancing the sensitivity of the LIGO gravitational wave detector by using squeezed states of light text January 2013
Comparison of Gravitational Wave Detector Network Sky Localization Approximations text January 2013
Methods and results of a search for gravitational waves associated with gamma-ray bursts using the GEO600, LIGO, and Virgo detectors text January 2014
Towards models of gravitational waveforms from generic binaries II: Modelling precession effects with a single effective precession parameter text January 2014
Robust parameter estimation for compact binaries with ground-based gravitational-wave observations using the LALInference software library text January 2014
Impact of precession on aligned-spin searches for neutron-star--black-hole binaries text January 2014
High-energy Neutrino follow-up search of Gravitational Wave Event GW150914 with ANTARES and IceCube text January 2016
An optimal method for scheduling observations of large sky error regions for finding optical counterparts to transients text January 2016
Constraining stellar binary black hole formation scenarios with eLISA eccentricity measurements text January 2016
CALET Upper Limits on X-ray and Gamma-ray Counterparts of GW 151226 text January 2016
Detectability of compact binary merger macronovae text January 2016
Search for High-energy Neutrinos from Gravitational Wave Event GW151226 and Candidate LVT151012 with ANTARES and IceCube text January 2017
Optical emission from a kilonova following a gravitational-wave-detected neutron-star merger text January 2017
The discovery of the electromagnetic counterpart of GW170817: kilonova AT 2017gfo/DLT17ck text January 2017
Strong constraints on cosmological gravity from GW170817 and GRB 170817A text January 2017
LISA observations of rapidly spinning massive black hole binary systems text January 2003
Long term study of the seismic environment at LIGO text January 2004
Search templates for gravitational waves from inspiraling binaries: Choice of template spacing text January 1995
GW170814: a three-detector observation of gravitational waves from a binary black hole coalescence text January 2017
The status of general relativistic simulations of compact binary mergers as engines of short gamma-ray bursts journal May 2017
Improved Analysis of GW150914 Using a Fully Spin-Precessing Waveform Model journal October 2016
Gravitational-Wave Data Analysis. Formalism and Sample Applications: The Gaussian Case journal March 2005
GW170817: Observation of Gravitational Waves from a Binary Neutron Star Inspiral text January 2017
Physics, Astrophysics and Cosmology with Gravitational Waves text January 2009
Black-hole binaries, gravitational waves, and numerical relativity text January 2010
Source localization with an advanced gravitational wave detector network text January 2010
Localization of gravitational wave sources with networks of advanced detectors text January 2011
A gravitational wave observatory operating beyond the quantum shot-noise limit: Squeezed light in application text January 2011
Detector configuration of KAGRA - the Japanese cryogenic gravitational-wave detector text January 2011
Low-frequency gravitational-wave science with eLISA/NGO text January 2012
Scientific Objectives of Einstein Telescope text January 2012
First Searches for Optical Counterparts to Gravitational-wave Candidate Events text January 2013
Accelerated gravitational-wave parameter estimation with reduced order modeling text January 2014
Localization of short duration gravitational-wave transients with the early advanced LIGO and Virgo detectors text January 2014
Merger rates of double neutron stars and stellar origin black holes: The Impact of Initial Conditions on Binary Evolution Predictions preprint January 2015
The PyCBC search for gravitational waves from compact binary coalescence text January 2015
Parameter estimation on gravitational waves from neutron-star binaries with spinning components text January 2015
GEO 600 and the GEO-HF upgrade program: successes and challenges text January 2015
Implementing a search for gravitational waves from non-precessing, spinning binary black holes text January 2016
Properties of the Binary Black Hole Merger GW150914 text January 2016
The Rate of Binary Black Hole Mergers Inferred from Advanced LIGO Observations Surrounding GW150914 text January 2016
Searching for Gravitational Waves from Compact Binaries with Precessing Spins text January 2016
J-GEM Follow-Up Observations to Search for an Optical Counterpart of The First Gravitational Wave Source GW150914 text January 2016
A DECam Search for an Optical Counterpart to the LIGO Gravitational Wave Event GW151226 text January 2016
Prospects for joint observations of gravitational waves and gamma rays from merging neutron star binaries text January 2016
On similarity of binary black hole gravitational-wave skymaps: to observe or to wait? text January 2016
Effects of Data Quality Vetoes on a Search for Compact Binary Coalescences in Advanced LIGO's First Observing Run text January 2017
INTEGRAL Detection of the First Prompt Gamma-Ray Signal Coincident with the Gravitational Wave Event GW170817 text January 2017
Swope Supernova Survey 2017a (SSS17a), the Optical Counterpart to a Gravitational Wave Source text January 2017
The Electromagnetic Counterpart of the Binary Neutron Star Merger LIGO/VIRGO GW170817. VI. Radio Constraints on a Relativistic Jet and Predictions for Late-Time Emission from the Kilonova Ejecta text January 2017
Optical Follow-up of Gravitational-wave Events with Las Cumbres Observatory text January 2017
A mildly relativistic wide-angle outflow in the neutron star merger GW170817 text January 2017
Brightening X-ray Emission from GW170817/GRB170817A: Further Evidence for an Outflow text January 2017
Localization of transient gravitational wave sources: beyond triangulation text January 2017
Stellar Astrophysics and Exoplanet Science with the Maunakea Spectroscopic Explorer (MSE) preprint January 2019
Successful Common Envelope Ejection and Binary Neutron Star Formation in 3D Hydrodynamics preprint January 2020
Constraint Likelihood analysis for a network of gravitational wave detectors text January 2005
A template bank to search for gravitational waves from inspiralling compact binaries I: physical models text January 2006
Matched filtering of gravitational waves from inspiraling compact binaries: Computational cost and template placement text January 1998

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A Hubble constant measurement from superluminal motion of the jet in GW170817 journal July 2019
Classification of gravitational-wave glitches via dictionary learning journal March 2019
Vibration isolation system with a compact damping system for power recycling mirrors of KAGRA journal April 2019
Stochastic gravitational wave backgrounds journal November 2018
Quantum noise cancellation in asymmetric speed metres with balanced homodyne readout journal October 2018
On the gauge invariance of cosmological gravitational waves journal March 2020
Constraining coherent low-frequency radio flares from compact binary mergers journal August 2019
Magnetized hybrid stars: effects of slow and rapid phase transitions at the quark–hadron interface journal September 2019
Optimizing multitelescope observations of gravitational-wave counterparts journal September 2019
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Coherent coupling completing an unambiguous optomechanical classification framework journal November 2019
Primordial black hole tower: Dark matter, earth-mass, and LIGO black holes journal July 2019
Gravitational-wave amplitudes for compact binaries in eccentric orbits at the third post-Newtonian order: Tail contributions and postadiabatic corrections journal August 2019
Bayesian multimessenger search method for common sources of gravitational waves and high-energy neutrinos journal October 2019
Particle swarm optimization based search for gravitational waves from compact binary coalescences: Performance improvements journal August 2018
Gravitational waves and the polarizations in Hořava gravity after GW170817 journal November 2018
Phenomenological inclusion of alternative dispersion relations to the Teukolsky equation and its application to bounding the graviton mass with gravitational-wave measurements journal June 2019
On combining information from multiple gravitational wave sources journal June 2019
Anisotropies in the Astrophysical Gravitational-Wave Background: The Impact of Black Hole Distributions journal March 2019
Hunting for Dwarf Galaxies Hosting the Formation and Coalescence of Compact Binaries journal December 2019
Binary Neutron Star Mergers: Mass Ejection, Electromagnetic Counterparts, and Nucleosynthesis journal December 2018
Measurement Accuracy of Inspiraling Eccentric Neutron Star and Black Hole Binaries Using Gravitational Waves journal January 2019
Search for Gravitational Waves from a Long-lived Remnant of the Binary Neutron Star Merger GW170817 journal April 2019
The Mass Distribution of Galactic Double Neutron Stars journal April 2019
The Fate of Binaries in the Galactic Center: The Mundane and the Exotic journal June 2019
Fermi -GBM Follow-up of LIGO-Virgo Binary Black Hole Mergers: Detection Prospects journal September 2019
A First Search for Prompt Radio Emission from a Gravitational-wave Event journal June 2019
Searches after Gravitational Waves Using ARizona Observatories (SAGUARO): System Overview and First Results from Advanced LIGO/Virgo’s Third Observing Run journal August 2019
A NICER View of PSR J0030+0451: Implications for the Dense Matter Equation of State journal December 2019
GROWTH on S190425z: Searching Thousands of Square Degrees to Identify an Optical or Infrared Counterpart to a Binary Neutron Star Merger with the Zwicky Transient Facility and Palomar Gattini-IR journal October 2019
Is GW190425 Consistent with Being a Neutron Star–Black Hole Merger? journal February 2020
Designing large pixelated CdTe detection planes for hard X-ray transients detection journal April 2019
Multi-messenger astrophysics journal October 2019
Horizon surface gravity in corotating black hole binaries journal June 2018
Hidden-sector modifications to gravitational waves from binary inspirals journal November 2018
A new data analysis framework for the search of continuous gravitational wave signals journal December 2018
Full 3D numerical relativity simulations of neutron star–boson star collisions with BAM journal December 2018
First cryogenic test operation of underground km-scale gravitational-wave observatory KAGRA journal July 2019
On modeling for Kerr black holes: basis learning, QNM frequencies, and spherical-spheroidal mixing coefficients journal November 2019
An arm length stabilization system for KAGRA and future gravitational-wave detectors journal January 2020
A Strategy for LSST to Unveil a Population of Kilonovae without Gravitational-wave Triggers journal May 2019
Eccentric binary black holes with spin via the direct integration of the post-Newtonian equations of motion journal July 2019
Reduced-order surrogate models for scalar-tensor gravity in the strong field regime and applications to binary pulsars and GW170817 journal September 2019
First search for long-duration transient gravitational waves after glitches in the Vela and Crab pulsars journal September 2019
Gravitational wave detection without boot straps: A Bayesian approach journal December 2019
Search for Multimessenger Sources of Gravitational Waves and High-energy Neutrinos with Advanced LIGO during Its First Observing Run, ANTARES, and IceCube text January 2019
GROWTH on S190425z: Searching Thousands of Square Degrees to Identify an Optical or Infrared Counterpart to a Binary Neutron Star Merger with the Zwicky Transient Facility and Palomar Gattini-IR text January 2019
Future Prospects for Ground-based Gravitational-wave Detectors: The Galactic Double Neutron Star Merger Rate Revisited journal January 2019
Features of Accretion-phase Gravitational-wave Emission from Two-dimensional Rotating Core-collapse Supernovae journal June 2019
Pulsational Pair-instability Supernovae in Very Close Binaries journal August 2019
Constraining the Fraction of Binary Black Holes Formed in Isolation and Young Star Clusters with Gravitational-wave Data journal November 2019
Binary Black Hole Population Properties Inferred from the First and Second Observing Runs of Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo journal September 2019
On the Possibility of GW190425 Being a Black Hole–Neutron Star Binary Merger journal February 2020
Impact of inter-correlated initial binary parameters on double black hole and neutron star mergers journal November 2018
Calibration of advanced Virgo and reconstruction of the gravitational wave signal h ( t ) during the observing run O2 journal September 2018
The eccentric behavior of inspiralling compact binaries journal December 2018
Stable optical rigidity based on dissipative coupling journal July 2019
GW170817: implications for the local kilonova rate and for surveys from ground-based facilities journal September 2018
Neutron star binary orbits in their host potential: effect on early r-process enrichment journal September 2019
Gravitational-wave follow-up with CTA after the detection of GRBs in the TeV energy domain journal October 2019
Galactic double neutron star total masses and Gaussian mixture model selection journal February 2019
Population synthesis of black hole binary mergers from star clusters journal January 2020
Matched-filter study and energy budget suggest no detectable gravitational-wave ‘extended emission’ from GW170817 journal February 2019
Joint gravitational wave – gamma-ray burst detection rates in the aftermath of GW170817 journal February 2019
Constraining extra gravitational wave polarizations with Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo, and KAGRA and upper bounds from GW170817 journal September 2019
Gravitational-wave detection rates for compact binaries formed in isolation: LIGO/Virgo O3 and beyond journal September 2019
Primordial black holes as silver bullets for new physics at the weak scale journal December 2019
Multiwaveform cross-correlation search method for intermediate-duration gravitational waves from gamma-ray bursts journal December 2019
Eclipses of continuous gravitational waves as a probe of stellar structure journal January 2020
Primordial gravitational waves and the H 0 -tension problem journal February 2019
Dark Energy in Light of Multi-Messenger Gravitational-Wave Astronomy journal December 2018
Stochastic Gravitational-wave Background from Binary Black Holes and Binary Neutron Stars and Implications for LISA journal January 2019
Limits on Electromagnetic Counterparts of Gravitational-wave-detected Binary Black Hole Mergers journal April 2019
The Impact of Pair-instability Mass Loss on the Binary Black Hole Mass Distribution journal September 2019
Does the Black Hole Merger Rate Evolve with Redshift? journal August 2018
Search for Gravitational Lensing Signatures in LIGO-Virgo Binary Black Hole Events journal March 2019
GROWTH on S190510g: DECam Observation Planning and Follow-up of a Distant Binary Neutron Star Merger Candidate journal August 2019
Tests of general relativity with the binary black hole signals from the LIGO-Virgo catalog GWTC-1 text January 2019
An optimised gravitational wave follow-up strategy with the Australian Square Kilometre Array Pathfinder journal January 2019
First tests of a Newtonian calibrator on an interferometric gravitational wave detector journal November 2018
Serendipitous discoveries of kilonovae in the LSST main survey: maximizing detections of sub-threshold gravitational wave events journal February 2019
Gravitational waves from the quasicircular inspiral of compact binaries in Einstein-aether theory journal February 2020
X-ray guided gravitational-wave search for binary neutron star merger remnants journal August 2018
Probing gravitational wave polarizations with Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo, and KAGRA journal September 2018
Convolutional neural networks: A magic bullet for gravitational-wave detection? text January 2019
A kilonova associated with GRB 070809 journal October 2019
Web application for galaxy-targeted follow-up of electromagnetic counterparts to gravitational wave sources journal January 2020
Faster search for long gravitational-wave transients: GPU implementation of the transient $ \newcommand{\F}{\mathcal{F}}\boldsymbol{ \F}$ -statistic journal September 2018
Host galaxies of merging compact objects: mass, star formation rate, metallicity, and colours journal May 2019
stroopwafel: simulating rare outcomes from astrophysical populations, with application to gravitational-wave sources★ journal September 2019
Using deep learning to localize gravitational wave sources journal November 2019
Search for Multi-messenger Sources of Gravitational Waves and High-energy Neutrinos with Advanced LIGO during its first Observing Run, ANTARES and IceCube text January 2020
Continuous Gravitational Waves from Neutron Stars: Current Status and Prospects journal October 2019
Optical Follow-up of Gravitational-wave Events during the Second Advanced LIGO/VIRGO Observing Run with the DLT40 Survey journal April 2019
Empirical tests of the black hole no-hair conjecture using gravitational-wave observations text January 2018
A Hubble constant measurement from superluminal motion of the jet in GW170817 preprint January 2018
A standard siren measurement of the Hubble constant from GW170817 without the electromagnetic counterpart text January 2018
Full 3D Numerical Relativity Simulations of Neutron Star -- Boson Star Collisions with BAM text January 2018
On modeling for Kerr black holes: Basis learning, QNM frequencies, and spherical-spheroidal mixing coefficients text January 2018
Classification of gravitational-wave glitches via dictionary learning text January 2018
A new data analysis framework for the search of continuous gravitational wave signals text January 2018
Search for gravitational lensing signatures in LIGO-Virgo binary black hole events text January 2019
Phase Transitions in Neutron Stars text January 2019
2900 square degree search for the optical counterpart of short gamma-ray burst GRB 180523B with the Zwicky Transient Facility text January 2019
Neutron Star Interior Composition Explorer X-ray Timing of the Radio and Gamma-ray Quiet Pulsars PSR J1412+7922 AND PSR J1849-0001 text January 2019
Tests of General Relativity with the Binary Black Hole Signals from the LIGO-Virgo Catalog GWTC-1 text January 2019
Neutron skins of atomic nuclei: per aspera ad astra text January 2019
Neutron star binary orbits in their host potential: effect on early r-process enrichment text January 2019
Searches After Gravitational-waves Using ARizona Observatories (SAGUARO): System Overview and First Results from Advanced LIGO/Virgo's Third Observing Run text January 2019
Astrophysical constraints on compact objects in 4D Einstein-Gauss-Bonnet gravity journal February 2022
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Developing the GOTO telescope control system conference December 2020
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All-sky search for short gravitational-wave bursts in the second Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo run text January 2019
The Rate of Short-Duration Gamma-Ray Bursts in the Local Universe journal November 2018
Gamma-Ray Burst Triangulation with a Near-Earth Network journal December 2020
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Gamma Rays and Gravitational Waves preprint January 2019
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