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Title: CERF – A Geospatial Model for Assessing Future Energy Production Technology Expansion Feasibility

Abstract

Electricity system expansion planning faces significant challenges not only because of commonly modeled uncertainties such as future demand growth, fuel prices, and technology cost and performance, but also because of challenges such as climate change and carbon policies that can affect supply and demand. Changes in energy technology, natural resource availability, and population migration and growth will affect the feasibility of power plant siting, potentially hindering the achievement of policy goals. New modeling approaches are needed that couple future projections of energy system expansion with “on the ground” feasibility modeling—where both are informed by a consistent set of assumptions about future climate trends, resource availability, climate policy, socioeconomics, and environmental regulations. This research describes the development and evaluation of the Capacity Expansion Regional Feasibility (CERF) model, a geospatial tool for scenario analysis of electricity system expansions.

Authors:
ORCiD logo; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1508150
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-125186
Journal ID: ISSN 2049-9647
DOE Contract Number:  
AC05-76RL01830
Resource Type:
Journal Article
Journal Name:
Journal of Open Research Software
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 6; Journal ID: ISSN 2049-9647
Publisher:
Software Sustainability Institute
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
grid expansion, water-energy nexus, power plant siting, cooling water availability, geographic information science, GIS

Citation Formats

Vernon, Chris R., Zuljevic, Nino, Rice, Jennie S., Seiple, Timothy E., Kintner-Meyer, Michael C. W., Voisin, Nathalie, Kraucunas, Ian P., Chunlian, Jin, Olson, Jarrod, Schmidt, Laurel, Morris, Scott L., and Patel, Pralit. CERF – A Geospatial Model for Assessing Future Energy Production Technology Expansion Feasibility. United States: N. p., 2018. Web. doi:10.5334/jors.227.
Vernon, Chris R., Zuljevic, Nino, Rice, Jennie S., Seiple, Timothy E., Kintner-Meyer, Michael C. W., Voisin, Nathalie, Kraucunas, Ian P., Chunlian, Jin, Olson, Jarrod, Schmidt, Laurel, Morris, Scott L., & Patel, Pralit. CERF – A Geospatial Model for Assessing Future Energy Production Technology Expansion Feasibility. United States. doi:10.5334/jors.227.
Vernon, Chris R., Zuljevic, Nino, Rice, Jennie S., Seiple, Timothy E., Kintner-Meyer, Michael C. W., Voisin, Nathalie, Kraucunas, Ian P., Chunlian, Jin, Olson, Jarrod, Schmidt, Laurel, Morris, Scott L., and Patel, Pralit. Mon . "CERF – A Geospatial Model for Assessing Future Energy Production Technology Expansion Feasibility". United States. doi:10.5334/jors.227.
@article{osti_1508150,
title = {CERF – A Geospatial Model for Assessing Future Energy Production Technology Expansion Feasibility},
author = {Vernon, Chris R. and Zuljevic, Nino and Rice, Jennie S. and Seiple, Timothy E. and Kintner-Meyer, Michael C. W. and Voisin, Nathalie and Kraucunas, Ian P. and Chunlian, Jin and Olson, Jarrod and Schmidt, Laurel and Morris, Scott L. and Patel, Pralit},
abstractNote = {Electricity system expansion planning faces significant challenges not only because of commonly modeled uncertainties such as future demand growth, fuel prices, and technology cost and performance, but also because of challenges such as climate change and carbon policies that can affect supply and demand. Changes in energy technology, natural resource availability, and population migration and growth will affect the feasibility of power plant siting, potentially hindering the achievement of policy goals. New modeling approaches are needed that couple future projections of energy system expansion with “on the ground” feasibility modeling—where both are informed by a consistent set of assumptions about future climate trends, resource availability, climate policy, socioeconomics, and environmental regulations. This research describes the development and evaluation of the Capacity Expansion Regional Feasibility (CERF) model, a geospatial tool for scenario analysis of electricity system expansions.},
doi = {10.5334/jors.227},
journal = {Journal of Open Research Software},
issn = {2049-9647},
number = ,
volume = 6,
place = {United States},
year = {2018},
month = {1}
}

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