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Title: Sampling for Confidence: Guidance for Evaluating the Quality of Canister Sampling Plans

Abstract

There is a need for an inspection frequency that demonstrates reasonable assurance that the confinement function of dual-purpose-canisters (DPCs) is maintained as these DPCs are returned to storage service following transportation. The DPCs contain spent fuel from shutdown reactor sites. The currently-proposed 100% DPC inspection frequency is overly conservative and unnecessary to demonstrate reasonable assurance that the confinement function of all DPCs is maintained for return to storage service. Testing all DPCs does not appropriately reflect the very low risk of leakage (i.e., low probability based on design and low consequences based on analysis). Currently, there are 1066 DPCs forecast to be loaded at reactor sites which either are shutdown or plan to cease operations by 2025. These DPCs may be transported by rail in sets of 3 to 5 DPCs per shipment. Assuming each rail consist originates at a single reactor site, an alternative proposal to test one canister/consist/site would result in 356 to 214 canisters, respectively, being tested given the population of 1,066 canisters This Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) report outlines statistically-based, random sampling plans that provide guidance on the number of samples of these canisters that are needed to establish bounds on the quality of themore » outcome of such sampling. The quality of each proposed sampling plan is expressed in the form of a statement that the number of undetected, unacceptable canisters in the population is less than some number, call it D, at a high level of confidence. In addition, evaluations using a similar approach for random sampling at the proposed levels of 214 and 356 canisters are provided.« less

Authors:
 [1]
  1. Savannah River Site (SRS), Aiken, SC (United States). Savannah River National Lab. (SRNL)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Savannah River Site (SRS), Aiken, SC (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Environmental Management (EM)
OSTI Identifier:
1490312
Report Number(s):
SRNL-STI-2018-00659
DOE Contract Number:  
AC09-08SR22470
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE WASTES FROM NUCLEAR FACILITIES

Citation Formats

Edwards, T. B. Sampling for Confidence: Guidance for Evaluating the Quality of Canister Sampling Plans. United States: N. p., 2018. Web. doi:10.2172/1490312.
Edwards, T. B. Sampling for Confidence: Guidance for Evaluating the Quality of Canister Sampling Plans. United States. doi:10.2172/1490312.
Edwards, T. B. Sat . "Sampling for Confidence: Guidance for Evaluating the Quality of Canister Sampling Plans". United States. doi:10.2172/1490312. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1490312.
@article{osti_1490312,
title = {Sampling for Confidence: Guidance for Evaluating the Quality of Canister Sampling Plans},
author = {Edwards, T. B.},
abstractNote = {There is a need for an inspection frequency that demonstrates reasonable assurance that the confinement function of dual-purpose-canisters (DPCs) is maintained as these DPCs are returned to storage service following transportation. The DPCs contain spent fuel from shutdown reactor sites. The currently-proposed 100% DPC inspection frequency is overly conservative and unnecessary to demonstrate reasonable assurance that the confinement function of all DPCs is maintained for return to storage service. Testing all DPCs does not appropriately reflect the very low risk of leakage (i.e., low probability based on design and low consequences based on analysis). Currently, there are 1066 DPCs forecast to be loaded at reactor sites which either are shutdown or plan to cease operations by 2025. These DPCs may be transported by rail in sets of 3 to 5 DPCs per shipment. Assuming each rail consist originates at a single reactor site, an alternative proposal to test one canister/consist/site would result in 356 to 214 canisters, respectively, being tested given the population of 1,066 canisters This Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) report outlines statistically-based, random sampling plans that provide guidance on the number of samples of these canisters that are needed to establish bounds on the quality of the outcome of such sampling. The quality of each proposed sampling plan is expressed in the form of a statement that the number of undetected, unacceptable canisters in the population is less than some number, call it D, at a high level of confidence. In addition, evaluations using a similar approach for random sampling at the proposed levels of 214 and 356 canisters are provided.},
doi = {10.2172/1490312},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {2018},
month = {12}
}

Technical Report:

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