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Title: Why does tropical convective available potential energy (CAPE) increase with warming?

Journal Article · · Geophysical Research Letters
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066199· OSTI ID:1470996
 [1];  [1]
  1. Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States); Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)

Previous work has produced a theory for tropical convective available potential energy (CAPE) that highlights the Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) scaling of the atmosphere's saturation deficit as a driver of increases in CAPE with warming. Here we test this so-called "zero-buoyancy" theory for CAPE by modulating the saturation deficit of cloud-resolving simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium in two ways: changing the sea surface temperature (SST) and changing the environmental relative humidity (RH). For earthlike and warmer SSTs, undilute parcel buoyancy in the lower troposphere is insensitive to increasing SST because of a countervailing CC scaling that balances the increase in the saturation deficit; however, buoyancy increases dramatically with SST in the upper troposphere. Conversely, in the RH experiment, undilute buoyancy throughout the troposphere increases monotonically with decreasing RH. We show that the zero-buoyancy theory successfully predicts these contrasting behaviors, building confidence that it describes the fundamental physics of CAPE and its response to warming.

Research Organization:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-05CH11231
OSTI ID:
1470996
Journal Information:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 42, Issue 23; ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher:
American Geophysical UnionCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 69 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

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Cited By (11)

On the Utility (or Futility) of Using Stable Water Isotopes to Constrain the Bulk Properties of Tropical Convection journal February 2018
Performance of a simple reanalysis proxy for U.S. cloud‐to‐ground lightning journal March 2019
Changes in the convective population and thermodynamic environments in convection-permitting regional climate simulations over the United States journal November 2017
Convection and Climate: What Have We Learned from Simple Models and Simplified Settings? journal June 2019
Increasingly Powerful Tornadoes in the United States journal January 2019
Relationships Between Tropical Ascent and High Cloud Fraction Changes With Warming Revealed by Perturbation Physics Experiments in CAM5 journal August 2019
A Steady‐State Model for the Relationship Between Humidity, Instability, and Precipitation in the Tropics journal December 2019
Ice nucleation by aerosols from anthropogenic pollution journal July 2019
Increasing potential for intense tropical and subtropical thunderstorms under global warming journal October 2017
Radiative–convective equilibrium model intercomparison project journal January 2018
Increasingly Powerful Tornadoes in the United States journal May 2018

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