skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Complexity Science: A Mechanism for Strategic Foresight and Resiliency in National Security Decision-Making.

Abstract

Most national policy decisions are complex with a variety of stakeholders, disparate interests and the potential for unintended consequences. While a number of analytical tools exist to help decision makers sort through the mountains of data and myriad of options, decision support teams are increasingly turning to complexity science for improved analysis and better insight into the potential impact of policy decisions. While complexity science has great potential, it has only proven useful in limited case s and when properly applied. In advance of more widespread use, a national - level effort to refine complexity science and more rigorously establish its technical underpinnings is recommended.

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
OSTI Identifier:
1409282
Report Number(s):
SAND2017-12367
658710
DOE Contract Number:  
AC04-94AL85000
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS; 97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Citation Formats

Ackermann, Mark R., Hayden, Nancy Kay, and Backus, George A.. Complexity Science: A Mechanism for Strategic Foresight and Resiliency in National Security Decision-Making.. United States: N. p., 2017. Web. doi:10.2172/1409282.
Ackermann, Mark R., Hayden, Nancy Kay, & Backus, George A.. Complexity Science: A Mechanism for Strategic Foresight and Resiliency in National Security Decision-Making.. United States. doi:10.2172/1409282.
Ackermann, Mark R., Hayden, Nancy Kay, and Backus, George A.. Wed . "Complexity Science: A Mechanism for Strategic Foresight and Resiliency in National Security Decision-Making.". United States. doi:10.2172/1409282. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1409282.
@article{osti_1409282,
title = {Complexity Science: A Mechanism for Strategic Foresight and Resiliency in National Security Decision-Making.},
author = {Ackermann, Mark R. and Hayden, Nancy Kay and Backus, George A.},
abstractNote = {Most national policy decisions are complex with a variety of stakeholders, disparate interests and the potential for unintended consequences. While a number of analytical tools exist to help decision makers sort through the mountains of data and myriad of options, decision support teams are increasingly turning to complexity science for improved analysis and better insight into the potential impact of policy decisions. While complexity science has great potential, it has only proven useful in limited case s and when properly applied. In advance of more widespread use, a national - level effort to refine complexity science and more rigorously establish its technical underpinnings is recommended.},
doi = {10.2172/1409282},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Nov 01 00:00:00 EDT 2017},
month = {Wed Nov 01 00:00:00 EDT 2017}
}

Technical Report:

Save / Share: