skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Technological growth of fuel efficiency in european automobile market 1975–2015

Journal Article · · Energy Policy
 [1];  [2]
  1. Northwestern Univ., Evanston, IL (United States)
  2. National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)

This paper looks at the technological growth of new car fleet fuel efficiency in the European Union between 1975 and 2015. According to the analysis results, from1975 to 2006 the fuel efficiency technology improvements were largely offset by vehicles' increased weight, engine size, and consumer amenities such as acceleration capacity. After 2006, downsizing in weight and engine capacity was observed in new car fleet, while fuel consumption decreased by 32% between 2006 and 2015. We adopt a statistical method and find that from 1975 to 2015, a 1% increase in weight would result in 0.3 to 0.5% increments in fuel consumption per 100 km, and a 1% reduction in 0-100 km/h acceleration time would increase fuel consumption by about 0.3%. Impacts of other attributes on fuel consumption are also assessed. To meet the European Union's 2021 fuel consumption target, downsizing of cars, as well as at least maintaining fuel efficiency technology growth trend observed between 2005 and 2015, are needed. Lastly, government policies on controlling improvement in acceleration performance or promoting alternative fuel vehicles are also important to achieve European Union 2021 target.

Research Organization:
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC36-08GO28308
OSTI ID:
1339511
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 1359073
Report Number(s):
NREL/JA-5400-67715
Journal Information:
Energy Policy, Vol. 98, Issue C; ISSN 0301-4215
Publisher:
ElsevierCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 24 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

References (21)

New emission deterioration rates for gasoline cars – Results from long-term measurements journal January 2015
FASTSim: A Model to Estimate Vehicle Efficiency, Cost and Performance conference April 2015
Transportation fuel portfolio design under evolving technology and regulation: A California case study journal October 2013
Coping with technology uncertainty in transportation fuel portfolio design journal October 2014
Real-driving emissions from cars and light commercial vehicles – Results from 13 years remote sensing at Zurich/CH journal May 2014
Fuel consumption impacts of auto roof racks journal May 2016
Estimate of fuel consumption and GHG emission impact from an automated mobility district conference October 2015
The evaluation of developing vehicle technologies on the fuel economy of long-haul trucks journal December 2015
Drive cycle simulation of high efficiency combustions on fuel economy and exhaust properties in light-duty vehicles journal November 2015
Model Architecture, Methods, and Interfaces for Efficient Math-Based Design and Simulation of Automotive Control Systems conference April 2010
Automobiles on Steroids: Product Attribute Trade-Offs and Technological Progress in the Automobile Sector journal December 2011
The determinants of the changes in car fuel efficiency in Great Britain (1978–2000) journal October 2006
Quantifying efficiency technology improvements in U.S. cars from 1975–2009 journal November 2015
Light-Duty Vehicle Fuel Consumption Displacement Potential up to 2045 report April 2013
Uncertain Future for California's Low-Carbon Fuel Standard?
  • Morrison, Geoffrey M.; Chen, Yuche
  • Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Vol. 2252, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.3141/2252-03
journal January 2011
CO2 emissions and energy demands of vehicles tested under the NEDC and the new WLTP type approval test procedures journal September 2016
Energy efficiency versus gains in consumer amenities—An example from new cars sold in Sweden journal February 2013
Shifting fuels, downsizing or both? The Swedish example journal January 2013
Better performance or lower fuel consumption: Technological development in the Swedish new car fleet 1975–2002 journal March 2008
Why has car-fleet specific fuel consumption not shown any decrease since 1990? Quantitative analysis of Dutch passenger car-fleet specific fuel consumption journal March 2001
System Analysis Using Multiple Expert Tools conference April 2011

Cited By (3)

Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle as a Power Plant: Techno-Economic Scenario Analysis of a Renewable Integrated Transportation and Energy System for Smart Cities in Two Climates journal December 2019
The Technological Progress of the Fuel Consumption Rate for Passenger Vehicles in China: 2009–2016 journal June 2019
A novel method to improve vehicle energy efficiency: Minimization of tire power loss
  • Sina, Naser; Hairi Yazdi, Mohammad Reza; Esfahanian, Vahid
  • Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part D: Journal of Automobile Engineering, Vol. 234, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1177/0954407019861241
journal July 2019