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Title: Scope Complexity Options Risks Excursions (SCORE) Version 3.0 Mathematical Description.

Abstract

The purpose of the Scope, Complexity, Options, Risks, Excursions (SCORE) model is to estimate the relative complexity of design variants of future warhead options. The results of this model allow those considering these options to understand the complexity tradeoffs between proposed warhead options. The core idea of SCORE is to divide a warhead option into a well- defined set of scope elements and then estimate the complexity of each scope element against a well understood reference system. The uncertainty associated with estimates can also be captured. A weighted summation of the relative complexity of each scope element is used to determine the total complexity of the proposed warhead option or portions of the warhead option (i.e., a National Work Breakdown Structure code). The SCORE analysis process is a growing multi-organizational Nuclear Security Enterprise (NSE) effort, under the management of the NA- 12 led Enterprise Modeling and Analysis Consortium (EMAC), that has provided the data elicitation, integration and computation needed to support the out-year Life Extension Program (LEP) cost estimates included in the Stockpile Stewardship Management Plan (SSMP).

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States); Sandia National Laboratories, Unknown, Unknown
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
OSTI Identifier:
1346334
Report Number(s):
SAND2017-2284
651342
DOE Contract Number:  
AC04-94AL85000
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEFENSE

Citation Formats

Gearhart, Jared Lee, Samberson, Jonell Nicole, Shettigar, Subhasini, Jungels, John, Welch, Kimberly M., and Jones, Dean A.. Scope Complexity Options Risks Excursions (SCORE) Version 3.0 Mathematical Description.. United States: N. p., 2017. Web. doi:10.2172/1346334.
Gearhart, Jared Lee, Samberson, Jonell Nicole, Shettigar, Subhasini, Jungels, John, Welch, Kimberly M., & Jones, Dean A.. Scope Complexity Options Risks Excursions (SCORE) Version 3.0 Mathematical Description.. United States. doi:10.2172/1346334.
Gearhart, Jared Lee, Samberson, Jonell Nicole, Shettigar, Subhasini, Jungels, John, Welch, Kimberly M., and Jones, Dean A.. Wed . "Scope Complexity Options Risks Excursions (SCORE) Version 3.0 Mathematical Description.". United States. doi:10.2172/1346334. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1346334.
@article{osti_1346334,
title = {Scope Complexity Options Risks Excursions (SCORE) Version 3.0 Mathematical Description.},
author = {Gearhart, Jared Lee and Samberson, Jonell Nicole and Shettigar, Subhasini and Jungels, John and Welch, Kimberly M. and Jones, Dean A.},
abstractNote = {The purpose of the Scope, Complexity, Options, Risks, Excursions (SCORE) model is to estimate the relative complexity of design variants of future warhead options. The results of this model allow those considering these options to understand the complexity tradeoffs between proposed warhead options. The core idea of SCORE is to divide a warhead option into a well- defined set of scope elements and then estimate the complexity of each scope element against a well understood reference system. The uncertainty associated with estimates can also be captured. A weighted summation of the relative complexity of each scope element is used to determine the total complexity of the proposed warhead option or portions of the warhead option (i.e., a National Work Breakdown Structure code). The SCORE analysis process is a growing multi-organizational Nuclear Security Enterprise (NSE) effort, under the management of the NA- 12 led Enterprise Modeling and Analysis Consortium (EMAC), that has provided the data elicitation, integration and computation needed to support the out-year Life Extension Program (LEP) cost estimates included in the Stockpile Stewardship Management Plan (SSMP).},
doi = {10.2172/1346334},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Mar 01 00:00:00 EST 2017},
month = {Wed Mar 01 00:00:00 EST 2017}
}

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