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Title: Moist Process Biases in Simulations of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Episodes Observed during the AMIE/DYNAMO Field Campaign

Abstract

Two Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) episodes observed during the 2011 Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program MJO Investigation Experiment (AMIE)/DYNAMO field campaign are simulated using a regional model with various cumulus parameterizations, a regional cloud-permitting model, and a global variable-resolution model with a high-resolution region centered over the tropical Indian Ocean. Model biases in relationships relevant to existing instability theories of MJO are examined and their relative contributions to the overall model errors are quantified using a linear statistical model. The model simulations capture the observed approximately log-linear relationship between moisture saturation fraction and precipitation, but precipitation associated with the given saturation fraction is overestimated especially at low saturation fraction values. This bias is a major contributor to the excessive precipitation during the suppressed phase of MJO. After accounting for this bias using a linear statistical model, the spatial and temporal structures of the model-simulated MJO episodes are much improved, and what remains of the biases is strongly correlated with biases in saturation fraction. The excess precipitation bias during the suppressed phase of the MJO episodes is accompanied by excessive column-integrated radiative forcing and surface evaporation. A large portion of the bias in evaporation is related to biases in wind speed, which aremore » correlated with those of precipitation. Furthermore, these findings suggest that the precipitation bias sustains itself at least partly by cloud radiative feedbacks and convection–surface wind interactions.« less

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1]
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  1. Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
OSTI Identifier:
1243178
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-110414
Journal ID: ISSN 0894-8755; KP1701000
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC05-76RL01830
Resource Type:
Journal Article: Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Journal of Climate
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 29; Journal Issue: 3; Journal ID: ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher:
American Meteorological Society
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CHEMISTRY; Circulation/ Dynamics; Deep convection; Madden-Julian oscillation; Models and modeling; Cloud parameterizations; Cloud resolving models; Convective parameterization

Citation Formats

Hagos, Samson M., Feng, Zhe, Burleyson, Casey D., Zhao, Chun, Martini, Matus N., and Berg, Larry K. Moist Process Biases in Simulations of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Episodes Observed during the AMIE/DYNAMO Field Campaign. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0349.1.
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Hagos, Samson M., Feng, Zhe, Burleyson, Casey D., Zhao, Chun, Martini, Matus N., & Berg, Larry K. Moist Process Biases in Simulations of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Episodes Observed during the AMIE/DYNAMO Field Campaign. United States. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0349.1
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Hagos, Samson M., Feng, Zhe, Burleyson, Casey D., Zhao, Chun, Martini, Matus N., and Berg, Larry K. Wed . "Moist Process Biases in Simulations of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Episodes Observed during the AMIE/DYNAMO Field Campaign". United States. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0349.1. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1243178.
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@article{osti_1243178,
title = {Moist Process Biases in Simulations of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Episodes Observed during the AMIE/DYNAMO Field Campaign},
author = {Hagos, Samson M. and Feng, Zhe and Burleyson, Casey D. and Zhao, Chun and Martini, Matus N. and Berg, Larry K.},
abstractNote = {Two Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) episodes observed during the 2011 Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program MJO Investigation Experiment (AMIE)/DYNAMO field campaign are simulated using a regional model with various cumulus parameterizations, a regional cloud-permitting model, and a global variable-resolution model with a high-resolution region centered over the tropical Indian Ocean. Model biases in relationships relevant to existing instability theories of MJO are examined and their relative contributions to the overall model errors are quantified using a linear statistical model. The model simulations capture the observed approximately log-linear relationship between moisture saturation fraction and precipitation, but precipitation associated with the given saturation fraction is overestimated especially at low saturation fraction values. This bias is a major contributor to the excessive precipitation during the suppressed phase of MJO. After accounting for this bias using a linear statistical model, the spatial and temporal structures of the model-simulated MJO episodes are much improved, and what remains of the biases is strongly correlated with biases in saturation fraction. The excess precipitation bias during the suppressed phase of the MJO episodes is accompanied by excessive column-integrated radiative forcing and surface evaporation. A large portion of the bias in evaporation is related to biases in wind speed, which are correlated with those of precipitation. Furthermore, these findings suggest that the precipitation bias sustains itself at least partly by cloud radiative feedbacks and convection–surface wind interactions.},
doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0349.1},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1243178}, journal = {Journal of Climate},
issn = {0894-8755},
number = 3,
volume = 29,
place = {United States},
year = {2016},
month = {2}
}
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Journal Article:
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Publisher's Version of Record
https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0349.1
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