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Title: The global gridded crop model intercomparison: Data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0)

Journal Article · · Geoscientific Model Development (Online)
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [4];  [5];  [2]; ORCiD logo [1];  [6];  [7];  [8];  [9];  [10];  [11];  [12];  [12];  [13]
  1. Univ. of Chicago and Argonne National Lab. Computation Inst., Chicago, IL (United States)
  2. Potsdam Inst. for Climate Impact Research (Germany)
  3. Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich (United Kingdom). Tyndall Centre
  4. Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States). Center for Climate Systems Research
  5. Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL (United States). Dept. of Agronomy
  6. Univ. of Chicago, IL (United States). Dept. of Geophysical Science
  7. Potsdam Inst. for Climate Impact Research (Germany); International Livestock Research Inst., Nairobi (Kenya); Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO), St Lucia QLD (Australia)
  8. National Inst. for Agro-Environmental Sciences, Tsukuba (Japan)
  9. Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD (United States). Dept. of Geographical Sciences
  10. Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA (United States). Center for the Environment
  11. Univ. of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN (United States). Inst. for the Environment
  12. NASA Goddard Inst. for Space Studies, New York, NY (United States)
  13. Princeton Univ., NJ (United States). Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering

We present protocols and input data for Phase 1 of the Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison, a project of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP). The project consist of global simulations of yields, phenologies, and many land-surface fluxes using 12–15 modeling groups for many crops, climate forcing data sets, and scenarios over the historical period from 1948 to 2012. The primary outcomes of the project include (1) a detailed comparison of the major differences and similarities among global models commonly used for large-scale climate impact assessment, (2) an evaluation of model and ensemble hindcasting skill, (3) quantification of key uncertainties from climate input data, model choice, and other sources, and (4) a multi-model analysis of the agricultural impacts of large-scale climate extremes from the historical record.

Research Organization:
Univ. of Chicago, IL (United States); Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States); Potsdam Inst. for Climate Impact Research (Germany)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE; National Science Foundation (NSF); German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) (Germany)
Contributing Organization:
Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich (United Kingdom); Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States); Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL (United States); International Livestock Research Inst., Nairobi (Kenya); Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO), St Lucia QLD (Australia); National Inst. for Agro-Environmental Sciences, Tsukuba (Japan); Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD (United States); Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA (United States); Univ. of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN (United States); NASA Goddard Inst. for Space Studies, New York, NY (United States); Princeton Univ., NJ (United States)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-06CH11357; SBE-0951576; GEO-1215910; 01LL0905L; 031A103B
OSTI ID:
1349062
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 1222961
Journal Information:
Geoscientific Model Development (Online), Vol. 8, Issue 2; ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher:
European Geosciences UnionCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 89 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

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Cited By (64)

Parameterization-induced uncertainties and impacts of crop management harmonization in a global gridded crop model ensemble journal September 2019
A network-based approach for semi-quantitative knowledge mining and its application to yield variability journal November 2016
Role of Modelling in International Crop Research: Overview and Some Case Studies journal December 2018
Phosphorus in agricultural soils: drivers of its distribution at the global scale journal February 2017
Decreases in global beer supply due to extreme drought and heat journal October 2018
Emergence of robust precipitation changes across crop production areas in the 21st century journal March 2019
Assessing recall bias and measurement error in high-frequency social data collection for human-environment research journal February 2019
The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation dataset journal May 2019
Global gridded crop model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications journal January 2017
Dissecting the nonlinear response of maize yield to high temperature stress with model‐data integration journal May 2019
Climate shocks, food price stability and international trade: evidence from 76 maize markets in 27 net-importing countries journal January 2019
Uncertainty in soil data can outweigh climate impact signals in global crop yield simulations journal June 2016
Field warming experiments shed light on the wheat yield response to temperature in China journal November 2016
Direct and indirect effects of CO 2 increase on crop yield in West Africa journal December 2018
Assessing uncertainties in crop and pasture ensemble model simulations of productivity and N 2 O emissions journal September 2017
Water savings potentials of irrigation systems: global simulation of processes and linkages journal January 2015
Representing agriculture in Earth System Models: Approaches and priorities for development: AGRICULTURE IN ESMS journal September 2017
Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models journal January 2017
Different uncertainty distribution between high and low latitudes in modelling warming impacts on wheat journal December 2019
Global patterns of crop yield stability under additional nutrient and water inputs journal June 2018
Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change journal September 2016
Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates journal August 2017
Implementing the nitrogen cycle into the dynamic global vegetation, hydrology, and crop growth model LPJmL (version 5.0) journal January 2018
Automatic data matching for geospatial models: a new paradigm for geospatial data and models sharing journal October 2019
Climate change has likely already affected global food production journal May 2019
Simulating the effect of tillage practices with the global ecosystem model LPJmL (version 5.0-tillage) journal January 2019
Selection of a representative subset of global climate models that captures the profile of regional changes for integrated climate impacts assessment journal March 2017
Projected changes in crop yield mean and variability over West Africa in a world 1.5 K warmer than the pre-industrial era journal January 2018
The impact of future climate change and potential adaptation methods on Maize yields in West Africa journal September 2018
A meta-analysis of crop response patterns to nitrogen limitation for improved model representation journal October 2019
Taking climate model evaluation to the next level journal January 2019
Coordinating AgMIP data and models across global and regional scales for 1.5°C and 2.0°C assessments
  • Rosenzweig, Cynthia; Ruane, Alex C.; Antle, John
  • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 376, Issue 2119 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0455
journal April 2018
Economic shifts in agricultural production and trade due to climate change journal September 2018
Uncertainties of potentials and recent changes in global yields of major crops resulting from census- and satellite-based yield datasets at multiple resolutions journal September 2018
Crop productivity changes in 1.5 °C and 2 °C worlds under climate sensitivity uncertainty journal May 2018
Evapotranspiration simulations in ISIMIP2a—Evaluation of spatio-temporal characteristics with a comprehensive ensemble of independent datasets journal June 2018
A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security journal March 2020
Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models null January 2017
Taking climate model evaluation to the next level text January 2019
Global Carbon Budget 2016 journal January 2016
Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change text January 2016
Crop productivity changes in 1.5 °C and 2 °C worlds under climate sensitivity uncertainty text January 2018
Global patterns of crop yield stability under additional nutrient and water inputs text January 2018
Decreases in global beer supply due to extreme drought and heat. text January 2018
Global Response Patterns of Major Rainfed Crops to Adaptation by Maintaining Current Growing Periods and Irrigation text January 2019
Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models text January 2017
Global gridded crop model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications text January 2017
The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation dataset text January 2019
Crop productivity changes in 1.5 °C and 2 °C worlds under climate sensitivity uncertainty text January 2018
Evapotranspiration simulations in ISIMIP2a—Evaluation of spatio-temporal characteristics with a comprehensive ensemble of independent datasets text January 2018
Evapotranspiration simulations in ISIMIP2a-Evaluation of spatio-temporal characteristics with a comprehensive ensemble of independent datasets text January 2018
Global Carbon Budget 2016 text January 2016
Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability text January 2017
A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security text January 2020
Crop productivity changes in 1.5 °C and 2 °C worlds under climate sensitivity uncertainty text January 2018
Simulating the effect of tillage practices with the global ecosystem model LPJmL (version 5.0-tillage) journal November 2018
Evapotranspiration simulations in ISIMIP2a—Evaluation of spatio-temporal characteristics with a comprehensive ensemble of independent datasets text January 2018
Parameterization-induced uncertainties and impacts of crop management harmonization in a global gridded crop model ensemble text January 2019
Global Carbon Budget 2016 text January 2016
The importance of management information and soil moisture representation for simulating tillage effects on N2O emissions in LPJmL5.0-tillage text January 2020
Forecasting Corn Yield with Machine Learning Ensembles text January 2020
Improving the representation of cropland sites in the Community Land Model (CLM) version 5.0 conference April 2021
Defining sowing and harvest dates based on the Asian Summer Monsoon journal November 2017
Potential yield simulated by global gridded crop models: using a process-based emulator to explain their differences journal March 2021

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