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Title: Multi-Path Transportation Futures Study. Results from Phase 1

Abstract

Presentation reporting Phase 1 results, 3/9/2007. Projecting the future role of advanced drivetrains and fuels in the light vehicle market is inherently difficult, given the uncertainty (and likely volatility) of future oil prices, inadequate understanding of likely consumer response to new technologies, the relative infancy of several important new technologies with inevitable future changes in their performance and costs, and the importance — and uncertainty — of future government marketplace interventions (e.g., new regulatory standards or vehicle purchase incentives). The Multi-Path Transportation Futures (MP) Study has attempted to improve our understanding of this future role by examining several scenarios of vehicle costs, fuel prices, government subsidies, and other key factors. These are projections, not forecasts, in that they try to answer a series of “what if” questions without assigning probabilities to most of the basic assumptions.

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [2];  [3]
  1. U.S. Dept. of Energy, Washington, DC (United States)
  2. Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
  3. TAE
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Energy Analysis (EI-30) (Energy Analysis Corporate)
OSTI Identifier:
1219514
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
study light vehicle future; fuel prices; alternative fuels; vehicle costs

Citation Formats

Phil Patterson, Phil, Singh, Margaret, Plotkin, Steve, and Moore, Jim. Multi-Path Transportation Futures Study. Results from Phase 1. United States: N. p., 2007. Web. doi:10.2172/1219514.
Phil Patterson, Phil, Singh, Margaret, Plotkin, Steve, & Moore, Jim. Multi-Path Transportation Futures Study. Results from Phase 1. United States. doi:10.2172/1219514.
Phil Patterson, Phil, Singh, Margaret, Plotkin, Steve, and Moore, Jim. Fri . "Multi-Path Transportation Futures Study. Results from Phase 1". United States. doi:10.2172/1219514. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1219514.
@article{osti_1219514,
title = {Multi-Path Transportation Futures Study. Results from Phase 1},
author = {Phil Patterson, Phil and Singh, Margaret and Plotkin, Steve and Moore, Jim},
abstractNote = {Presentation reporting Phase 1 results, 3/9/2007. Projecting the future role of advanced drivetrains and fuels in the light vehicle market is inherently difficult, given the uncertainty (and likely volatility) of future oil prices, inadequate understanding of likely consumer response to new technologies, the relative infancy of several important new technologies with inevitable future changes in their performance and costs, and the importance — and uncertainty — of future government marketplace interventions (e.g., new regulatory standards or vehicle purchase incentives). The Multi-Path Transportation Futures (MP) Study has attempted to improve our understanding of this future role by examining several scenarios of vehicle costs, fuel prices, government subsidies, and other key factors. These are projections, not forecasts, in that they try to answer a series of “what if” questions without assigning probabilities to most of the basic assumptions.},
doi = {10.2172/1219514},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Fri Mar 09 00:00:00 EST 2007},
month = {Fri Mar 09 00:00:00 EST 2007}
}

Technical Report:

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