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Title: Estimation of economic parameters of U.S. hydropower resources

Abstract

Tools for estimating the cost of developing and operating and maintaining hydropower resources in the form of regression curves were developed based on historical plant data. Development costs that were addressed included: licensing, construction, and five types of environmental mitigation. It was found that the data for each type of cost correlated well with plant capacity. A tool for estimating the annual and monthly electric generation of hydropower resources was also developed. Additional tools were developed to estimate the cost of upgrading a turbine or a generator. The development and operation and maintenance cost estimating tools, and the generation estimating tool were applied to 2,155 U.S. hydropower sites representing a total potential capacity of 43,036 MW. The sites included totally undeveloped sites, dams without a hydroelectric plant, and hydroelectric plants that could be expanded to achieve greater capacity. Site characteristics and estimated costs and generation for each site were assembled in a database in Excel format that is also included within the EERE Library under the title, “Estimation of Economic Parameters of U.S. Hydropower Resources - INL Hydropower Resource Economics Database.”

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. Idaho National Lab. (INL), Idaho Falls, ID (United States). Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Lab. (INEEL)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
EERE Publication and Product Library, Washington, D.C. (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Wind and Water Technologies Office (EE-4W)
OSTI Identifier:
1218138
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
develop; development; operation; maintenance; O&M; regression; curve(s); costs; licensing; construction; environmental; mitigation; capacity; upgrade; upgrading; turbine(s); generator(s)

Citation Formats

Hall, Douglas G., Hunt, Richard T., Reeves, Kelly S., and Carroll, Greg R. Estimation of economic parameters of U.S. hydropower resources. United States: N. p., 2003. Web. doi:10.2172/1218138.
Hall, Douglas G., Hunt, Richard T., Reeves, Kelly S., & Carroll, Greg R. Estimation of economic parameters of U.S. hydropower resources. United States. doi:10.2172/1218138.
Hall, Douglas G., Hunt, Richard T., Reeves, Kelly S., and Carroll, Greg R. 2003. "Estimation of economic parameters of U.S. hydropower resources". United States. doi:10.2172/1218138. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1218138.
@article{osti_1218138,
title = {Estimation of economic parameters of U.S. hydropower resources},
author = {Hall, Douglas G. and Hunt, Richard T. and Reeves, Kelly S. and Carroll, Greg R.},
abstractNote = {Tools for estimating the cost of developing and operating and maintaining hydropower resources in the form of regression curves were developed based on historical plant data. Development costs that were addressed included: licensing, construction, and five types of environmental mitigation. It was found that the data for each type of cost correlated well with plant capacity. A tool for estimating the annual and monthly electric generation of hydropower resources was also developed. Additional tools were developed to estimate the cost of upgrading a turbine or a generator. The development and operation and maintenance cost estimating tools, and the generation estimating tool were applied to 2,155 U.S. hydropower sites representing a total potential capacity of 43,036 MW. The sites included totally undeveloped sites, dams without a hydroelectric plant, and hydroelectric plants that could be expanded to achieve greater capacity. Site characteristics and estimated costs and generation for each site were assembled in a database in Excel format that is also included within the EERE Library under the title, “Estimation of Economic Parameters of U.S. Hydropower Resources - INL Hydropower Resource Economics Database.”},
doi = {10.2172/1218138},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = 2003,
month = 6
}

Technical Report:

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  • This report documents today`s hydropower licensing and development status based on published data as follows: (a) Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) databases, maintained by FERC`s Office of Hydropower Licensing, of: (1) operating FERC-regulated projects, federal projects, and known unlicensed projects; (2) surrendered licenses; and, (3) recent licensing and relicensing actions; (b) Energy Information Administration (EIA) data on installed capacity and generation from 1949 through 1995 for the various resources used to produce electricity in the U.S.; and, (c) FERC licensing orders, and environmental assessments or environmental impact statements for each individual project relicensed since 1980. The analysis conducted to preparemore » this paper includes the effects of all FERC hydropower licensing actions since 1980, and applies those findings to estimate the costs of hydropower licensing and development activity for the next 15 years. It also quantifies the national cost of hydropower regulation. The future estimates are quite conservative. The are presented in 1996 dollars without speculating on the effects of future inflation, license surrenders, conditions imposed through open-ended license articles, license terms greater than 30 years, or low water years. Instead, they show the most directly predictable influences on licensing outcomes using actual experiences since ECPA (after 1986).« less
  • The Preliminary Inventory of Hydropower Resources (PIHR) a preliminary product of the National Hydropower Study (NHS), was published in six (6) volumes (regions) to facilitate reproduction and distribution. The PIHR contains general as well as site-specific information on our nation's hydroelectric power potential. It gives estimates of existing, incremental and undeveloped hydropower potential by state and region and furthermore, breaks these categories down into size ranges of small-scale (.05-15 MW) intermediate (15-25 MW) and large-scale (greater than 25MW) sites. Because the inventory is a preliminary product of the NHS, it may be suspended at some future date. Conservative assumptions havemore » been made in the screening and analysis process to avoid eliminating any potentially feasible sites. The current summary tables provide the best estimated to date, but to some degree, may overstate the actual capacity and energy which could be developed.« less
  • The Preliminary Inventory of Hydropower Resources (PIHR) a preliminary product of the National Hydropower Study (NHS), was published in six (6) volumes (regions) to facilitate reproduction and distribution. The PIHR contains general as well as site-specific information on our nation's hydroelectric power potential. It gives estimates of existing, incremental and undeveloped hydropower potential by state and region and furthermore, breaks these categories down into size ranges of small-scale (.05-15 MW) intermediate (15-25 MW) and large-scale (greater than 25MW) sites. Because the inventory is a preliminary product of the NHS, it may be superseded at some future date. Conservative assumptions havemore » been made in the screening and analysis process to avoid eliminating any potentially feasible sites. The current summary tables provide the best estimated to date, but to some degree, may overstate the actual capacity and energy which could be developed.« less
  • The Preliminary Inventory of Hydropower Resources (PIHR) a preliminary product of the National Hydropower Study (NHS), was published in six volumes (regions) to facilitate reproduction and distribution. The PIHR contains general as well as site-specific information on our nation's hydroelectric power potential. It gives estimates of existing, incremental and undeveloped hydropower potential by state and region and furthermore, breaks these categories down into size ranges of small-scale (.05-15 MW) intermediate (15-25 MW) and large-scale (greater than 25 MW) sites. Because the inventory is a preliminary product of the NHS, it may be superseded at some future date. Conservative assumptions havemore » been made in the screening and analysis process to avoid eliminating any potentially feasible sites. The current summary tables provide the best estimated to date, but to some degree, may overstate the actual capacity and energy which could be developed.« less
  • The Preliminary Inventory of Hydropower Resources (PIHR) a preliminary product of the National Hydropower Study (NHS), was published in six (6) volumes (regions) to facilitate reproduction and distribution. The PIHR contains general as well as site-specific information on our nation's hydroelectric power potential. It gives estimates of existing, incremental and undeveloped hydropower potential by state and region and furthermore, breaks these categories down into size ranges of small-scale (.05-15 MW) intermediate (15-25 MW) and large-scale (greater than 25MW) sites. Because the inventory is a preliminary product of the NHS, it may be superseded at some future date. Conservative assumptions havemore » been made in the screening and analysis process to avoid eliminating any potentially feasible sites. The current summary tables provide the best estimated to date, but to some degree, may overstate the actual capacity and energy which could be developed.« less