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Title: Estimating Renewable Energy Economic Potential in the United States. Methodology and Initial Results

Abstract

This report describes a geospatial analysis method to estimate the economic potential of several renewable resources available for electricity generation in the United States. Economic potential, one measure of renewable generation potential, may be defined in several ways. For example, one definition might be expected revenues (based on local market prices) minus generation costs, considered over the expected lifetime of the generation asset. Another definition might be generation costs relative to a benchmark (e.g., a natural gas combined cycle plant) using assumptions of fuel prices, capital cost, and plant efficiency. Economic potential in this report is defined as the subset of the available resource technical potential where the cost required to generate the electricity (which determines the minimum revenue requirements for development of the resource) is below the revenue available in terms of displaced energy and displaced capacity. The assessment is conducted at a high geospatial resolution (more than 150,000 technology-specific sites in the continental United States) to capture the significant variation in local resource, costs, and revenue potential. This metric can be a useful screening factor for understanding the economic viability of renewable generation technologies at a specific location. In contrast to many common estimates of renewable energy potential,more » economic potential does not consider market dynamics, customer demand, or most policy drivers that may incent renewable energy generation.« less

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)
OSTI Identifier:
1215323
Report Number(s):
NREL/TP-6A20-64503
DOE Contract Number:
AC36-08GO28308
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY; renewable; RE; solar; wind; geothermal; economics; potential

Citation Formats

Brown, Austin, Beiter, Philipp, Heimiller, Donna, Davidson, Carolyn, Denholm, Paul, Melius, Jennifer, Lopez, Anthony, Hettinger, Dylan, Mulcahy, David, and Porro, Gian. Estimating Renewable Energy Economic Potential in the United States. Methodology and Initial Results. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.2172/1215323.
Brown, Austin, Beiter, Philipp, Heimiller, Donna, Davidson, Carolyn, Denholm, Paul, Melius, Jennifer, Lopez, Anthony, Hettinger, Dylan, Mulcahy, David, & Porro, Gian. Estimating Renewable Energy Economic Potential in the United States. Methodology and Initial Results. United States. doi:10.2172/1215323.
Brown, Austin, Beiter, Philipp, Heimiller, Donna, Davidson, Carolyn, Denholm, Paul, Melius, Jennifer, Lopez, Anthony, Hettinger, Dylan, Mulcahy, David, and Porro, Gian. Mon . "Estimating Renewable Energy Economic Potential in the United States. Methodology and Initial Results". United States. doi:10.2172/1215323. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1215323.
@article{osti_1215323,
title = {Estimating Renewable Energy Economic Potential in the United States. Methodology and Initial Results},
author = {Brown, Austin and Beiter, Philipp and Heimiller, Donna and Davidson, Carolyn and Denholm, Paul and Melius, Jennifer and Lopez, Anthony and Hettinger, Dylan and Mulcahy, David and Porro, Gian},
abstractNote = {This report describes a geospatial analysis method to estimate the economic potential of several renewable resources available for electricity generation in the United States. Economic potential, one measure of renewable generation potential, may be defined in several ways. For example, one definition might be expected revenues (based on local market prices) minus generation costs, considered over the expected lifetime of the generation asset. Another definition might be generation costs relative to a benchmark (e.g., a natural gas combined cycle plant) using assumptions of fuel prices, capital cost, and plant efficiency. Economic potential in this report is defined as the subset of the available resource technical potential where the cost required to generate the electricity (which determines the minimum revenue requirements for development of the resource) is below the revenue available in terms of displaced energy and displaced capacity. The assessment is conducted at a high geospatial resolution (more than 150,000 technology-specific sites in the continental United States) to capture the significant variation in local resource, costs, and revenue potential. This metric can be a useful screening factor for understanding the economic viability of renewable generation technologies at a specific location. In contrast to many common estimates of renewable energy potential, economic potential does not consider market dynamics, customer demand, or most policy drivers that may incent renewable energy generation.},
doi = {10.2172/1215323},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Aug 01 00:00:00 EDT 2016},
month = {Mon Aug 01 00:00:00 EDT 2016}
}

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