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Title: The Relative, Correlation Based Magnitude Detection Capability at the North Korean Test Site using an IMS Array

Authors:
 [1];  [1]
  1. Los Alamos National Laboratory
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1186054
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-15-24669
DOE Contract Number:
AC52-06NA25396
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
Geosciences(58); Mathematics & Computing(97); Nuclear Disarmament, Safeguards, & Physical Protection(98); Seismology, North Korean Test Site, Test Bay Treaty Verification, Continuous Threshold Monitoring, probability, statistics, magnitude thresholds, cross correlation, reciprocity

Citation Formats

Carmichael, Joshua Daniel, and Hartse, Hans Edward. The Relative, Correlation Based Magnitude Detection Capability at the North Korean Test Site using an IMS Array. United States: N. p., 2015. Web. doi:10.2172/1186054.
Carmichael, Joshua Daniel, & Hartse, Hans Edward. The Relative, Correlation Based Magnitude Detection Capability at the North Korean Test Site using an IMS Array. United States. doi:10.2172/1186054.
Carmichael, Joshua Daniel, and Hartse, Hans Edward. Thu . "The Relative, Correlation Based Magnitude Detection Capability at the North Korean Test Site using an IMS Array". United States. doi:10.2172/1186054. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1186054.
@article{osti_1186054,
title = {The Relative, Correlation Based Magnitude Detection Capability at the North Korean Test Site using an IMS Array},
author = {Carmichael, Joshua Daniel and Hartse, Hans Edward},
abstractNote = {},
doi = {10.2172/1186054},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Jul 30 00:00:00 EDT 2015},
month = {Thu Jul 30 00:00:00 EDT 2015}
}

Technical Report:

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  • Seismic waveform correlation offers the prospect of greatly reducing event detection thresholds when compared with more conventional processing methods. Correlation is applicable for seismic events that in some sense repeat, that is they have very similar waveforms. A number of recent studies have shown that correlated seismic signals may form a significant fraction of seismicity at regional distances. For the particular case of multiple nuclear explosions at the same test site, regional distance correlation also allows very precise relative location measurements and could offer the potential to lower thresholds when multiple events exist. Using the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) Internationalmore » Monitoring System (IMS) seismic array at Matsushiro, Japan (MJAR), Gibbons and Ringdal (2012) were able to create a multichannel correlation detector with a very low false alarm rate and a threshold below magnitude 3.0. They did this using the 2006 or 2009 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) nuclear explosion as a template to search through a data stream from the same station to find a match via waveform correlation. In this paper, we extend the work of Gibbons and Ringdal (2012) and measure the correlation detection threshold at several other IMS arrays. We use this to address three main points. First, we show the IMS array station at Mina, Nevada (NVAR), which is closest to the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS), is able to detect a chemical explosion that is well under 1 ton with the right template. Second, we examine the two IMS arrays closest to the North Korean (DPRK) test site (at Ussuriysk, Russian Federation [USRK] and Wonju, Republic of Korea [KSRS]) to show that similarly low thresholds are possible when the right templates exist. We also extend the work of Schaff et al. (2012) and measure the correlation detection threshold at the nearest Global Seismic Network (GSN) three-component station (MDJ) at Mudanjiang, Heilongjiang Province, China, from the New China Digital Seismograph Network (IC). To conclude, we use these results to explore the recent claim by Zhang and Wen (2015) that the DPRK conducted “…a low-yield nuclear test…” on 12 May 2010.« less
  • This correlation map (scale = 1:12,000) presents the results of a mapping initiative that was part of the comprehensive site characterization required to operate the Area 5 Radioactive Waste Management Site, a low-level radioactive waste disposal facility located in northern Frenchman Flat at the Nevada Test Site. Eight primary map units are recognized for Quaternary surfaces: remnants of six alluvial fan or terrace surfaces, one unit that includes colluvial aprons associated with hill slopes, and one unit for anthropogenically disturbed surfaces. This surficial geology map provides fundamental data on natural processes for reconstruction of the Quaternary history of northern Frenchmanmore » Flat, which in turn will aid in the understanding of the natural processes that act to develop the landscape, and the time-frames involved in landscape development. The mapping was conducted using color and color-infrared aerial photographs and field verification of map unit composition and boundaries. Criteria for defining the map unit composition of geomorphic surface units are based on relative geomorphic position, landform morphology, and degree of preservation of surface morphology. The bedrock units identified on this map were derived from previous published mapping efforts and are included for completeness.« less