A Generalized Stability Analysis of the AMOC in Earth System Models: Implication for Decadal Variability and Abrupt Climate Change

Fedorov, Alexey V.

doi:10.2172/1167250

Title: A Generalized Stability Analysis of the AMOC in Earth System Models: Implication for Decadal Variability and Abrupt Climate Change

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Abstract

The central goal of this research project was to understand the mechanisms of decadal and multi-decadal variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) as related to climate variability and abrupt climate change within a hierarchy of climate models ranging from realistic ocean models to comprehensive Earth system models. Generalized Stability Analysis, a method that quantifies the transient and asymptotic growth of perturbations in the system, is one of the main approaches used throughout this project. The topics we have explored range from physical mechanisms that control AMOC variability to the factors that determine AMOC predictability in the Earth system models, to the stability and variability of the AMOC in past climates.

Authors:

Fedorov, Alexey V. ^[1]

Yale Univ., New Haven, CT (United States)

Publication Date:: Wed Jan 14 00:00:00 EST 2015

Research Org.:: Yale Univ., New Haven, CT (United States)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)

OSTI Identifier:: 1167250

Report Number(s):: DOE-YALE-SC0007037

DOE Contract Number:: SC0007037

Resource Type:: Technical Report

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Climate; decadal and multi-decadal variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC); climate models; Generalized Stability Analysis

Citation Formats


                    Fedorov, Alexey V. A Generalized Stability Analysis of the AMOC in Earth System Models: Implication for Decadal Variability and Abrupt Climate Change.  United States: N. p., 2015. 
        Web.  doi:10.2172/1167250.

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                    Fedorov, Alexey V. A Generalized Stability Analysis of the AMOC in Earth System Models: Implication for Decadal Variability and Abrupt Climate Change.  United States.  https://doi.org/10.2172/1167250

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                    Fedorov, Alexey V. 2015.  
        "A Generalized Stability Analysis of the AMOC in Earth System Models: Implication for Decadal Variability and Abrupt Climate Change".  United States.  https://doi.org/10.2172/1167250.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1167250.

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@article{osti_1167250,

  title        = {A Generalized Stability Analysis of the AMOC in Earth System Models: Implication for Decadal Variability and Abrupt Climate Change},

  author       = {Fedorov, Alexey V.},

  abstractNote = {The central goal of this research project was to understand the mechanisms of decadal and multi-decadal variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) as related to climate variability and abrupt climate change within a hierarchy of climate models ranging from realistic ocean models to comprehensive Earth system models. Generalized Stability Analysis, a method that quantifies the transient and asymptotic growth of perturbations in the system, is one of the main approaches used throughout this project. The topics we have explored range from physical mechanisms that control AMOC variability to the factors that determine AMOC predictability in the Earth system models, to the stability and variability of the AMOC in past climates.},

  doi          = {10.2172/1167250},

  url          = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1167250},
  journal      = {},
number       = ,

  volume       = ,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Wed Jan 14 00:00:00 EST 2015},

  month        = {Wed Jan 14 00:00:00 EST 2015}

}

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