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Title: Risk assessment of climate systems for national security.

Abstract

Climate change, through drought, flooding, storms, heat waves, and melting Arctic ice, affects the production and flow of resource within and among geographical regions. The interactions among governments, populations, and sectors of the economy require integrated assessment based on risk, through uncertainty quantification (UQ). This project evaluated the capabilities with Sandia National Laboratories to perform such integrated analyses, as they relate to (inter)national security. The combining of the UQ results from climate models with hydrological and economic/infrastructure impact modeling appears to offer the best capability for national security risk assessments.

Authors:
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Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
OSTI Identifier:
1088102
Report Number(s):
SAND2012-10554
393343
DOE Contract Number:  
AC04-94AL85000
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

Citation Formats

Backus, George A., Boslough, Mark Bruce Elrick, Brown, Theresa Jean, Cai, Ximing, Conrad, Stephen Hamilton, Constantine, Paul G, Dalbey, Keith R., Debusschere, Bert J., Fields, Richard, Hart, David Blaine, Kalinina, Elena Arkadievna, Kerstein, Alan R., Levy, Michael, Lowry, Thomas Stephen, Malczynski, Leonard A., Najm, Habib N., Overfelt, James Robert, Parks, Mancel Jordan, Peplinski, William J., Safta, Cosmin, Sargsyan, Khachik, Stubblefield, William Anthony, Taylor, Mark A., Tidwell, Vincent Carroll, Trucano, Timothy Guy, and Villa, Daniel L. Risk assessment of climate systems for national security.. United States: N. p., 2012. Web. doi:10.2172/1088102.
Backus, George A., Boslough, Mark Bruce Elrick, Brown, Theresa Jean, Cai, Ximing, Conrad, Stephen Hamilton, Constantine, Paul G, Dalbey, Keith R., Debusschere, Bert J., Fields, Richard, Hart, David Blaine, Kalinina, Elena Arkadievna, Kerstein, Alan R., Levy, Michael, Lowry, Thomas Stephen, Malczynski, Leonard A., Najm, Habib N., Overfelt, James Robert, Parks, Mancel Jordan, Peplinski, William J., Safta, Cosmin, Sargsyan, Khachik, Stubblefield, William Anthony, Taylor, Mark A., Tidwell, Vincent Carroll, Trucano, Timothy Guy, & Villa, Daniel L. Risk assessment of climate systems for national security.. United States. doi:10.2172/1088102.
Backus, George A., Boslough, Mark Bruce Elrick, Brown, Theresa Jean, Cai, Ximing, Conrad, Stephen Hamilton, Constantine, Paul G, Dalbey, Keith R., Debusschere, Bert J., Fields, Richard, Hart, David Blaine, Kalinina, Elena Arkadievna, Kerstein, Alan R., Levy, Michael, Lowry, Thomas Stephen, Malczynski, Leonard A., Najm, Habib N., Overfelt, James Robert, Parks, Mancel Jordan, Peplinski, William J., Safta, Cosmin, Sargsyan, Khachik, Stubblefield, William Anthony, Taylor, Mark A., Tidwell, Vincent Carroll, Trucano, Timothy Guy, and Villa, Daniel L. Mon . "Risk assessment of climate systems for national security.". United States. doi:10.2172/1088102. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1088102.
@article{osti_1088102,
title = {Risk assessment of climate systems for national security.},
author = {Backus, George A. and Boslough, Mark Bruce Elrick and Brown, Theresa Jean and Cai, Ximing and Conrad, Stephen Hamilton and Constantine, Paul G and Dalbey, Keith R. and Debusschere, Bert J. and Fields, Richard and Hart, David Blaine and Kalinina, Elena Arkadievna and Kerstein, Alan R. and Levy, Michael and Lowry, Thomas Stephen and Malczynski, Leonard A. and Najm, Habib N. and Overfelt, James Robert and Parks, Mancel Jordan and Peplinski, William J. and Safta, Cosmin and Sargsyan, Khachik and Stubblefield, William Anthony and Taylor, Mark A. and Tidwell, Vincent Carroll and Trucano, Timothy Guy and Villa, Daniel L.},
abstractNote = {Climate change, through drought, flooding, storms, heat waves, and melting Arctic ice, affects the production and flow of resource within and among geographical regions. The interactions among governments, populations, and sectors of the economy require integrated assessment based on risk, through uncertainty quantification (UQ). This project evaluated the capabilities with Sandia National Laboratories to perform such integrated analyses, as they relate to (inter)national security. The combining of the UQ results from climate models with hydrological and economic/infrastructure impact modeling appears to offer the best capability for national security risk assessments.},
doi = {10.2172/1088102},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Oct 01 00:00:00 EDT 2012},
month = {Mon Oct 01 00:00:00 EDT 2012}
}

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