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Title: Global projections for anthropogenic reactive nitrogen emissions to the atmosphere: an assessment of scenarios in the scientific literature

Abstract

Most long-term scenarios of global N emissions are produced by Integrated Assessment Models in the context of climate change assessment. The scenarios indicate that N emissions are likely to increase in the next decades, followed by a stabilization or decline. Critical factors for future N emissions are the development of the underlying drivers (especially fertilizer use, animal husbandry, transport and power generation), air pollution control policy and climate policy. The new scenarios made for climate change assessment, the Representative Concentration Pathways - RCPs, are not representative of the range of possible N-emission projections. A more focused development of scenarios for air pollution may improve the relevance and quality of the scenarios.

Authors:
; ; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1047425
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-79731
Journal ID: ISSN 1877-3435; KP1703030; TRN: US201216%%276
DOE Contract Number:  
AC05-76RL01830
Resource Type:
Journal Article
Journal Name:
Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 3; Journal Issue: 5; Journal ID: ISSN 1877-3435
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; AIR POLLUTION; AIR POLLUTION CONTROL; ANIMALS; CLIMATES; FERTILIZERS; NITROGEN; POWER; RANGE; STABILIZATION; TRANSPORT

Citation Formats

Van Vuuren, Detlef, Bouwman, Lex, Smith, Steven J., and Dentener, Frank. Global projections for anthropogenic reactive nitrogen emissions to the atmosphere: an assessment of scenarios in the scientific literature. United States: N. p., 2011. Web. doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2011.08.014.
Van Vuuren, Detlef, Bouwman, Lex, Smith, Steven J., & Dentener, Frank. Global projections for anthropogenic reactive nitrogen emissions to the atmosphere: an assessment of scenarios in the scientific literature. United States. doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2011.08.014.
Van Vuuren, Detlef, Bouwman, Lex, Smith, Steven J., and Dentener, Frank. Sat . "Global projections for anthropogenic reactive nitrogen emissions to the atmosphere: an assessment of scenarios in the scientific literature". United States. doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2011.08.014.
@article{osti_1047425,
title = {Global projections for anthropogenic reactive nitrogen emissions to the atmosphere: an assessment of scenarios in the scientific literature},
author = {Van Vuuren, Detlef and Bouwman, Lex and Smith, Steven J. and Dentener, Frank},
abstractNote = {Most long-term scenarios of global N emissions are produced by Integrated Assessment Models in the context of climate change assessment. The scenarios indicate that N emissions are likely to increase in the next decades, followed by a stabilization or decline. Critical factors for future N emissions are the development of the underlying drivers (especially fertilizer use, animal husbandry, transport and power generation), air pollution control policy and climate policy. The new scenarios made for climate change assessment, the Representative Concentration Pathways - RCPs, are not representative of the range of possible N-emission projections. A more focused development of scenarios for air pollution may improve the relevance and quality of the scenarios.},
doi = {10.1016/j.cosust.2011.08.014},
journal = {Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability},
issn = {1877-3435},
number = 5,
volume = 3,
place = {United States},
year = {2011},
month = {9}
}