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Title: Projections of highway vehicle population, energy demand, and CO{sub 2} emissions in India through 2040.

Abstract

This paper presents projections of motor vehicles, oil demand, and carbon dioxide (CO{sub 2}) emissions for India through the year 2040. The populations of highway vehicles and two-wheelers are projected under three different scenarios on the basis of economic growth and average household size in India. The results show that by 2040, the number of highway vehicles in India would be 206-309 million. The oil demand projections for the Indian transportation sector are based on a set of nine scenarios arising out of three vehicle-growth and three fuel-economy scenarios. The combined effects of vehicle-growth and fuel-economy scenarios, together with the change in annual vehicle usage, result in a projected demand in 2040 by the transportation sector in India of 404-719 million metric tons (8.5-15.1 million barrels per day). The corresponding annual CO{sub 2} emissions are projected to be 1.2-2.2 billion metric tons.

Authors:
; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
EE
OSTI Identifier:
1006259
Report Number(s):
ANL/ES/JA-67795
Journal ID: ISSN 0165-0203; TRN: US201105%%955
DOE Contract Number:  
DE-AC02-06CH11357
Resource Type:
Journal Article
Journal Name:
Nat. Resour. Forum
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 35; Journal Issue: Feb. 22, 2011; Journal ID: ISSN 0165-0203
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
ENGLISH
Subject:
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION; CARBON DIOXIDE; ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT; ENERGY DEMAND; FUEL CONSUMPTION; HOUSEHOLDS; INDIA; METRICS; TRANSPORTATION SECTOR; VEHICLES

Citation Formats

Arora, S, Vyas, A, Johnson, L, and Energy Systems. Projections of highway vehicle population, energy demand, and CO{sub 2} emissions in India through 2040.. United States: N. p., 2011. Web. doi:10.1111/j.1477-8947.2011.01341.x.
Arora, S, Vyas, A, Johnson, L, & Energy Systems. Projections of highway vehicle population, energy demand, and CO{sub 2} emissions in India through 2040.. United States. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-8947.2011.01341.x
Arora, S, Vyas, A, Johnson, L, and Energy Systems. Tue . "Projections of highway vehicle population, energy demand, and CO{sub 2} emissions in India through 2040.". United States. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-8947.2011.01341.x.
@article{osti_1006259,
title = {Projections of highway vehicle population, energy demand, and CO{sub 2} emissions in India through 2040.},
author = {Arora, S and Vyas, A and Johnson, L and Energy Systems},
abstractNote = {This paper presents projections of motor vehicles, oil demand, and carbon dioxide (CO{sub 2}) emissions for India through the year 2040. The populations of highway vehicles and two-wheelers are projected under three different scenarios on the basis of economic growth and average household size in India. The results show that by 2040, the number of highway vehicles in India would be 206-309 million. The oil demand projections for the Indian transportation sector are based on a set of nine scenarios arising out of three vehicle-growth and three fuel-economy scenarios. The combined effects of vehicle-growth and fuel-economy scenarios, together with the change in annual vehicle usage, result in a projected demand in 2040 by the transportation sector in India of 404-719 million metric tons (8.5-15.1 million barrels per day). The corresponding annual CO{sub 2} emissions are projected to be 1.2-2.2 billion metric tons.},
doi = {10.1111/j.1477-8947.2011.01341.x},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1006259}, journal = {Nat. Resour. Forum},
issn = {0165-0203},
number = Feb. 22, 2011,
volume = 35,
place = {United States},
year = {2011},
month = {2}
}