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Title: Explorations in combining cognitive models of individuals and system dynamics models of groups.

Abstract

This report documents a demonstration model of interacting insurgent leadership, military leadership, government leadership, and societal dynamics under a variety of interventions. The primary focus of the work is the portrayal of a token societal model that responds to leadership activities. The model also includes a linkage between leadership and society that implicitly represents the leadership subordinates as they directly interact with the population. The societal model is meant to demonstrate the efficacy and viability of using System Dynamics (SD) methods to simulate populations and that these can then connect to cognitive models depicting individuals. SD models typically focus on average behavior and thus have limited applicability to describe small groups or individuals. On the other hand, cognitive models readily describe individual behavior but can become cumbersome when used to describe populations. Realistic security situations are invariably a mix of individual and population dynamics. Therefore, the ability to tie SD models to cognitive models provides a critical capability that would be otherwise be unavailable.

Authors:
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Sandia National Laboratories
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1004372
Report Number(s):
SAND2008-4717
TRN: US201104%%888
DOE Contract Number:  
AC04-94AL85000
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS//MATHEMATICS, COMPUTING, AND INFORMATION SCIENCE; POPULATION DYNAMICS; BEHAVIOR; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; SOCIOLOGY

Citation Formats

Backus, George A. Explorations in combining cognitive models of individuals and system dynamics models of groups.. United States: N. p., 2008. Web. doi:10.2172/1004372.
Backus, George A. Explorations in combining cognitive models of individuals and system dynamics models of groups.. United States. https://doi.org/10.2172/1004372
Backus, George A. Tue . "Explorations in combining cognitive models of individuals and system dynamics models of groups.". United States. https://doi.org/10.2172/1004372. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1004372.
@article{osti_1004372,
title = {Explorations in combining cognitive models of individuals and system dynamics models of groups.},
author = {Backus, George A},
abstractNote = {This report documents a demonstration model of interacting insurgent leadership, military leadership, government leadership, and societal dynamics under a variety of interventions. The primary focus of the work is the portrayal of a token societal model that responds to leadership activities. The model also includes a linkage between leadership and society that implicitly represents the leadership subordinates as they directly interact with the population. The societal model is meant to demonstrate the efficacy and viability of using System Dynamics (SD) methods to simulate populations and that these can then connect to cognitive models depicting individuals. SD models typically focus on average behavior and thus have limited applicability to describe small groups or individuals. On the other hand, cognitive models readily describe individual behavior but can become cumbersome when used to describe populations. Realistic security situations are invariably a mix of individual and population dynamics. Therefore, the ability to tie SD models to cognitive models provides a critical capability that would be otherwise be unavailable.},
doi = {10.2172/1004372},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1004372}, journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {2008},
month = {7}
}