Development of a natural Gas Systems Analysis Model (GSAM). Annual report

Technical Report · Tue Feb 01 00:00:00 EST 1994

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/10143716· OSTI ID:10143716

Lacking a detailed characterization of the resource base and a comprehensive borehole-to-burnertip evaluation model of the North American natural gas system, past R&D, tax and regulatory policies have been formulated without a full understanding of their likely direct and indirect impacts on future gas supply and demand. The recent disappearance of the deliverability surplus, pipeline deregulation, and current policy debates about regulatory initiatives in taxation, environmental compliance and leasing make the need for a comprehensive gas evaluation system critical. Traditional econometric or highly aggregated energy models are increasingly regarded as unable to incorporate available geologic detail and explicit technology performance and costing algorithms necessary to evaluate resource-technology-economic interactions in a market context. The objective of this research is to create a comprehensive, non-proprietary, microcomputer model of the North American natural gas system. GSAM explicitly evaluates the key components of the natural gas system, including resource base, exploration and development, extraction technology performance and costs, transportation and storage and end use. The primary focus is the detailed characterization of the resource base at the reservoir and sub-reservoir level and the impact of alternative extraction technologies on well productivity and economics. GSAM evaluates the complex interactions of current and alternative future technology and policy initiatives in the context of the evolving gas markets. Scheduled for completion in 1995, a prototype is planned for early 1994. ICF Resources reviewed relevant natural gas upstream, downstream and market models to identify appropriate analytic capabilities to incorporate into GSAM. We have reviewed extraction technologies to better characterize performance and costs in terms of GSAM parameters.

• Research Organization: ICF Resources, Inc., Fairfax, VA (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
• DOE Contract Number: AC21-92MC28138
• OSTI ID: 10143716
• Report Number(s): DOE/MC/28138-3714; ON: DE94004099; BR: AB0520000/AB0530050; TRN: 94:008586
• Resource Relation: Other Information: PBD: Feb 1994
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

03 NATURAL GAS
29 ENERGY PLANNING
POLICY AND ECONOMY
NATURAL GAS
ENERGY MODELS
PROGRESS REPORT
NORTH AMERICA
RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT
EXPLORATION
PROCESSING
TRANSPORT
STORAGE
COST
USES
PIPELINES
CAPACITY
DRILLING
COMPUTERS
MARKET
030600
290100
294003
ECONOMIC, INDUSTRIAL, AND BUSINESS ASPECTS
ENERGY ANALYSIS AND MODELING