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Title: Land-use Leakage

Abstract

Leakage occurs whenever actions to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in one part of the world unleash countervailing forces elsewhere in the world so that reductions in global emissions are less than emissions mitigation in the mitigating region. While many researchers have examined the concept of industrial leakage, land-use policies can also result in leakage. We show that land-use leakage is potentially as large as or larger than industrial leakage. We identify two potential land-use leakage drivers, land-use policies and bioenergy. We distinguish between these two pathways and run numerical experiments for each. We also show that the land-use policy environment exerts a powerful influence on leakage and that under some policy designs leakage can be negative. International “offsets” are a potential mechanism to communicate emissions mitigation beyond the borders of emissions mitigating regions, but in a stabilization regime designed to limit radiative forcing to 3.7 2/m2, this also implies greater emissions mitigation commitments on the part of mitigating regions.

Authors:
; ; ; ; ; ; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
994043
Report Number(s):
PNNL-18585
KP1703030; TRN: US201101%%257
DOE Contract Number:  
AC05-76RL01830
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; GREENHOUSE GASES; LAND USE; MITIGATION; STABILIZATION

Citation Formats

Calvin, Katherine V, Edmonds, James A, Clarke, Leon E, Bond-Lamberty, Benjamin, Kim, Son H, Wise, Marshall A, Thomson, Allison M, and Kyle, G Page. Land-use Leakage. United States: N. p., 2009. Web. doi:10.2172/994043.
Calvin, Katherine V, Edmonds, James A, Clarke, Leon E, Bond-Lamberty, Benjamin, Kim, Son H, Wise, Marshall A, Thomson, Allison M, & Kyle, G Page. Land-use Leakage. United States. https://doi.org/10.2172/994043
Calvin, Katherine V, Edmonds, James A, Clarke, Leon E, Bond-Lamberty, Benjamin, Kim, Son H, Wise, Marshall A, Thomson, Allison M, and Kyle, G Page. 2009. "Land-use Leakage". United States. https://doi.org/10.2172/994043. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/994043.
@article{osti_994043,
title = {Land-use Leakage},
author = {Calvin, Katherine V and Edmonds, James A and Clarke, Leon E and Bond-Lamberty, Benjamin and Kim, Son H and Wise, Marshall A and Thomson, Allison M and Kyle, G Page},
abstractNote = {Leakage occurs whenever actions to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in one part of the world unleash countervailing forces elsewhere in the world so that reductions in global emissions are less than emissions mitigation in the mitigating region. While many researchers have examined the concept of industrial leakage, land-use policies can also result in leakage. We show that land-use leakage is potentially as large as or larger than industrial leakage. We identify two potential land-use leakage drivers, land-use policies and bioenergy. We distinguish between these two pathways and run numerical experiments for each. We also show that the land-use policy environment exerts a powerful influence on leakage and that under some policy designs leakage can be negative. International “offsets” are a potential mechanism to communicate emissions mitigation beyond the borders of emissions mitigating regions, but in a stabilization regime designed to limit radiative forcing to 3.7 2/m2, this also implies greater emissions mitigation commitments on the part of mitigating regions.},
doi = {10.2172/994043},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/994043}, journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue Dec 01 00:00:00 EST 2009},
month = {Tue Dec 01 00:00:00 EST 2009}
}