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Title: Multi-path transportation futures study : vehicle characterization and scenario analyses.

Abstract

Projecting the future role of advanced drivetrains and fuels in the light vehicle market is inherently difficult, given the uncertainty (and likely volatility) of future oil prices, inadequate understanding of likely consumer response to new technologies, the relative infancy of several important new technologies with inevitable future changes in their performance and costs, and the importance - and uncertainty - of future government marketplace interventions (e.g., new regulatory standards or vehicle purchase incentives). This Multi-Path Transportation Futures (MP) Study has attempted to improve our understanding of this future role by examining several scenarios of vehicle costs, fuel prices, government subsidies, and other key factors. These are projections, not forecasts, in that they try to answer a series of 'what if' questions without assigning probabilities to most of the basic assumptions.

Authors:
; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
EE
OSTI Identifier:
968962
Report Number(s):
ANL/ESD/09-5
TRN: US201001%%229
DOE Contract Number:  
DE-AC02-06CH11357
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
ENGLISH
Subject:
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION; 33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS; TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS; VEHICLES; FORECASTING; FINANCIAL INCENTIVES; MARKET; PERFORMANCE; PRICES; COST

Citation Formats

Plotkin, S E, Singh, M K, Energy Systems, TA Engineering, and ORNL,. Multi-path transportation futures study : vehicle characterization and scenario analyses.. United States: N. p., 2009. Web. doi:10.2172/968962.
Plotkin, S E, Singh, M K, Energy Systems, TA Engineering, & ORNL,. Multi-path transportation futures study : vehicle characterization and scenario analyses.. United States. https://doi.org/10.2172/968962
Plotkin, S E, Singh, M K, Energy Systems, TA Engineering, and ORNL,. 2009. "Multi-path transportation futures study : vehicle characterization and scenario analyses.". United States. https://doi.org/10.2172/968962. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/968962.
@article{osti_968962,
title = {Multi-path transportation futures study : vehicle characterization and scenario analyses.},
author = {Plotkin, S E and Singh, M K and Energy Systems and TA Engineering and ORNL,},
abstractNote = {Projecting the future role of advanced drivetrains and fuels in the light vehicle market is inherently difficult, given the uncertainty (and likely volatility) of future oil prices, inadequate understanding of likely consumer response to new technologies, the relative infancy of several important new technologies with inevitable future changes in their performance and costs, and the importance - and uncertainty - of future government marketplace interventions (e.g., new regulatory standards or vehicle purchase incentives). This Multi-Path Transportation Futures (MP) Study has attempted to improve our understanding of this future role by examining several scenarios of vehicle costs, fuel prices, government subsidies, and other key factors. These are projections, not forecasts, in that they try to answer a series of 'what if' questions without assigning probabilities to most of the basic assumptions.},
doi = {10.2172/968962},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/968962}, journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Dec 03 00:00:00 EST 2009},
month = {Thu Dec 03 00:00:00 EST 2009}
}