Estimating Production Potentials: Expert Bias in Applied Decision Making
- ISU
- INEEL
A study was conducted to evaluate how workers predict manufacturing production potentials given positively and negatively framed information. Findings indicate the existence of a bias toward positive information and suggest that this bias may be reduced with experience but is never the less maintained. Experts err in the same way non experts do in differentially processing negative and positive information. Additionally, both experts and non experts tend to overestimate production potentials in a positive direction. The authors propose that these biases should be addressed with further research including cross domain analyses and consideration in training, workplace design, and human performance modeling.
- Research Organization:
- Idaho National Lab. (INL), Idaho Falls, ID (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC07-94ID13223
- OSTI ID:
- 8526
- Report Number(s):
- INEEL/CON-98-01115; ON: DE00008526
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: Engineering Psychology & Cognitive Ergonomics, Oxford, England, 10/28/98 - 10/30/98
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
Similar Records
Satellite-based evaluation of AeroCom model bias in biomass burning regions
The Workplace Exposure Assessment Expert System (WORKSPERT)