Strategies for cost-effective carbon reductions: A sensitivity analysis of alternative scenarios
Analyses of alternative futures often present results for a limited set of scenarios, with little if any sensitivity analysis to identify the factors affecting the scenario results. This approach creates an artificial impression of certainty associated with the scenarios considered, and inhibits understanding of the underlying forces. This paper summarizes the economic and carbon savings sensitivity analysis completed for the Scenarios for a Clean Energy Future study (IWG, 2000). Its 19 sensitivity cases provide insight into the costs and carbon-reduction impacts of a carbon permit trading system, demand-side efficiency programs, and supply-side policies. Impacts under different natural gas and oil price trajectories are also examined. The results provide compelling evidence that policy opportunities exist to reduce carbon emissions and save society money.
- Research Organization:
- Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE Assistant Secretary for Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy; Environmental Protection Agency (US)
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC03-76SF00098
- OSTI ID:
- 791781
- Report Number(s):
- LBNL-47357; ENPYAC; R&D Project: 43AJ09; TRN: US200204%%99
- Journal Information:
- Energy Policy, Vol. 29, Issue 14; Other Information: Journal Publication Date: November 2001; PBD: 11 Jul 2001; ISSN 0301-4215
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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