The implications of future building scenarios for long-term building energy research and development
Abstract
This report presents a discussion of alternative future scenarios of the building environment to the year 2010 and assesses the implications these scenarios present for long-term building energy R and D. The scenarios and energy R and D implications derived from them are intended to serve as the basis from which a strategic plan can be developed for the management of R and D programs conducted by the Office of Buildings and Community Systems, US Department of Energy. The scenarios and analysis presented here have relevance not only for government R and D programs; on the contrary, it is hoped that the results of this effort will be of interest and useful to researchers in both private and public sector organizations that deal with building energy R and D. Making R and D decisions today based on an analysis that attempts to delineate the nexus of events 25 years in the future are clearly decisions made in the face of uncertainty. Yet, the effective management of R and D programs requires a future-directed understanding of markets, technological developments, and environmental factors, as well as their interactions. The analysis presented in this report is designed to serve that need. Although themore »
- Authors:
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 7011016
- Report Number(s):
- PNL-6064
ON: DE87003588
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC06-76RL01830
- Resource Type:
- Technical Report
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION; BUILDINGS; ENERGY CONSERVATION; RESEARCH PROGRAMS; FORECASTING; 320100* - Energy Conservation, Consumption, & Utilization- Buildings
Citation Formats
Flynn, W T. The implications of future building scenarios for long-term building energy research and development. United States: N. p., 1986.
Web. doi:10.2172/7011016.
Flynn, W T. The implications of future building scenarios for long-term building energy research and development. United States. https://doi.org/10.2172/7011016
Flynn, W T. 1986.
"The implications of future building scenarios for long-term building energy research and development". United States. https://doi.org/10.2172/7011016. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/7011016.
@article{osti_7011016,
title = {The implications of future building scenarios for long-term building energy research and development},
author = {Flynn, W T},
abstractNote = {This report presents a discussion of alternative future scenarios of the building environment to the year 2010 and assesses the implications these scenarios present for long-term building energy R and D. The scenarios and energy R and D implications derived from them are intended to serve as the basis from which a strategic plan can be developed for the management of R and D programs conducted by the Office of Buildings and Community Systems, US Department of Energy. The scenarios and analysis presented here have relevance not only for government R and D programs; on the contrary, it is hoped that the results of this effort will be of interest and useful to researchers in both private and public sector organizations that deal with building energy R and D. Making R and D decisions today based on an analysis that attempts to delineate the nexus of events 25 years in the future are clearly decisions made in the face of uncertainty. Yet, the effective management of R and D programs requires a future-directed understanding of markets, technological developments, and environmental factors, as well as their interactions. The analysis presented in this report is designed to serve that need. Although the probability of any particular scenario actually occurring is uncertain, the scenarios to be presented are sufficiently robust to set bounds within which to examine the interaction of forces that will shape the future building environment.},
doi = {10.2172/7011016},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/7011016},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Dec 01 00:00:00 EST 1986},
month = {Mon Dec 01 00:00:00 EST 1986}
}