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Title: U.S. coal outlook in Asia

Abstract

Coal exports from the US to Asia are declining over time as a result of (1) increased competition from coal suppliers within the Asia-Pacific region, (2) changing steel making technologies, (3) decreased emphasis on security of coal supplies, and (4) deregulation of the energy industry--particularly electric utilities. There are no major changes on the horizon that are likely to alter the role of the US as a modest coal supplier to the Asia-Pacific region. The downward trend in US coal exports to Asia is expected to continue over the 1997--2010 period. But economic and policy changes underway in Asia are likely to result in periodic coal shortages, lasting a few months to a year, and short term increased export opportunities for US coal. US coal exports to Asia are projected to fluctuate within the following ranges over the 2000--2010 period: 10--17 million tons in total exports, 6--12 million tons in thermal coal exports, and 4--9 million tons in coking coal exports. The most important role for US coal, from the perspective of Asian coal importing countries, is to ensure a major alternative source of coal supplies that can be turned to in the event of unforeseen disruptions in coal suppliesmore » from the Asia-Pacific region or South Africa. However, the willingness of consumers to pay a premium to ensure US export capacity is declining, with increased emphasis on obtaining the lowest cost coal supplies.« less

Authors:
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
East-West Center, Honolulu, HI (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Assistant Secretary for Fossil Energy, Washington, DC (United States)
OSTI Identifier:
658169
Report Number(s):
CONF-9702115-1
ON: DE98004850; BR: AA1520450;AZ0220060; TRN: 98:011166
DOE Contract Number:  
FC03-94FE63313
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Resource Relation:
Conference: JAPAC `97 international symposium on coal flow, Tokyo (Japan), 19-21 Feb 1997; Other Information: PBD: Feb 1997
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT; 29 ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY; COAL; EXPORTS; FORECASTING; COAL INDUSTRY; SUPPLY DISRUPTION; ASIA; STATISTICAL DATA

Citation Formats

Johnson, C J. U.S. coal outlook in Asia. United States: N. p., 1997. Web. doi:10.2172/658169.
Johnson, C J. U.S. coal outlook in Asia. United States. https://doi.org/10.2172/658169
Johnson, C J. 1997. "U.S. coal outlook in Asia". United States. https://doi.org/10.2172/658169. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/658169.
@article{osti_658169,
title = {U.S. coal outlook in Asia},
author = {Johnson, C J},
abstractNote = {Coal exports from the US to Asia are declining over time as a result of (1) increased competition from coal suppliers within the Asia-Pacific region, (2) changing steel making technologies, (3) decreased emphasis on security of coal supplies, and (4) deregulation of the energy industry--particularly electric utilities. There are no major changes on the horizon that are likely to alter the role of the US as a modest coal supplier to the Asia-Pacific region. The downward trend in US coal exports to Asia is expected to continue over the 1997--2010 period. But economic and policy changes underway in Asia are likely to result in periodic coal shortages, lasting a few months to a year, and short term increased export opportunities for US coal. US coal exports to Asia are projected to fluctuate within the following ranges over the 2000--2010 period: 10--17 million tons in total exports, 6--12 million tons in thermal coal exports, and 4--9 million tons in coking coal exports. The most important role for US coal, from the perspective of Asian coal importing countries, is to ensure a major alternative source of coal supplies that can be turned to in the event of unforeseen disruptions in coal supplies from the Asia-Pacific region or South Africa. However, the willingness of consumers to pay a premium to ensure US export capacity is declining, with increased emphasis on obtaining the lowest cost coal supplies.},
doi = {10.2172/658169},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/658169}, journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Sat Feb 01 00:00:00 EST 1997},
month = {Sat Feb 01 00:00:00 EST 1997}
}