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Title: Approach to market-penetration analysis for advanced electric-power-generation technologies

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/6544511· OSTI ID:6544511

If commercialization of new technologies is the primary objective of the Department of Energy's Research, Development and Demonstration (RD and D) programs, the ultimate measure of benefit from RD and D programs is the extent of commercial acceptance of the developed technologies. Uncertainty about barriers to commercialization - government policy, fuel supply, etc. - make the task of estimating this acceptance very difficult. However, given that decisions must be made regarding allocation of RD and D funds, the best information available, with due regard for uncertainty, should serve as input to these decisions. An approach is presented for quantifying the range of market potential for new technologies (specifically in the utility sector) based on historical information and known plans for the future.

Research Organization:
Brookhaven National Lab., Upton, NY (USA). National Center for Analysis of Energy Systems
DOE Contract Number:
AC02-76CH00016
OSTI ID:
6544511
Report Number(s):
BNL-51285
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English