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Title: Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses Plan

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/6284670· OSTI ID:6284670

Hanford Environmental Dose Reconstruction (HEDR) Project staff are developing mathematical models to be used to estimate the radiation dose that individuals may have received as a result of emissions since 1944 from the US Department of Energy's (DOE) Hanford Site near Richland, Washington. An uncertainty and sensitivity analyses plan is essential to understand and interpret the predictions from these mathematical models. This is especially true in the case of the HEDR models where the values of many parameters are unknown. This plan gives a thorough documentation of the uncertainty and hierarchical sensitivity analysis methods recommended for use on all HEDR mathematical models. The documentation includes both technical definitions and examples. In addition, an extensive demonstration of the uncertainty and sensitivity analysis process is provided using actual results from the Hanford Environmental Dose Reconstruction Integrated Codes (HEDRIC). This demonstration shows how the approaches used in the recommended plan can be adapted for all dose predictions in the HEDR Project.

Research Organization:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
DOHHS; Department of Health and Human Services, Washington, DC (United States)
DOE Contract Number:
AC06-76RL01830
OSTI ID:
6284670
Report Number(s):
PNWD-2124-HEDR; ON: DE93012320; CNN: 200-92-0503(CDC)/18620(BNW)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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