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Title: Uncertainty estimates for predictions of the impact of breeder-reactor radionuclide releases

Conference ·
OSTI ID:5059938

This paper summarizes estimates, compiled in a larger report, of the uncertainty associated with models and parameters used to assess the impact on man radionuclide releases to the environment by breeder reactor facilities. These estimates indicate that, for many sites, generic models and representative parameter values may reasonably be used to calculate doses from annual average radionuclide releases when these calculated doses are on the order of one-tenth or less of a relevant dose limit. For short-term, accidental releases, the uncertainty in the dose calculations may be much larger than an order of magnitude. As a result, it may be necessary to incorporate site-specific information into the dose calculation under such circumstances. However, even using site-specific information, inherent natural variability within human receptors, and the uncertainties in the dose conversion factor will likely result in an overall uncertainty of greater than an order of magnitude for predictions of dose following short-term releases.

Research Organization:
Oak Ridge National Lab., TN (USA)
DOE Contract Number:
W-7405-ENG-26
OSTI ID:
5059938
Report Number(s):
CONF-820704-18; ON: DE82018157; TRN: 82-018870
Resource Relation:
Conference: International topical meeting on LMFBR safety, Lyon, France, 18 Jul 1982
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English